**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a cool day in Buenos Aires on September 6, 2026, with daytime highs expected near 9–10°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and southerly winds.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 10–12°C, which together exceed 90% implied probability and reflect trader consensus on limited daytime warming. A strong cold air advection event, driven by persistent southwesterly to southerly flow behind a frontal passage, has sharply lowered temperatures from the seasonal norm. Highs fell from around 17°C on September 4 to projected 13°C on the 5th and 9–10°C on the 6th, according to consistent model guidance. Clear conditions overnight have allowed efficient radiational cooling, while modest insolation and the cool air mass constrain afternoon peaks. Historical September averages near 19–20°C provide context for how unusual this early-spring chill is. Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk and no major forecast shifts anticipated before resolution, supporting the narrow probability distribution around 10–12°C. Minor upside risk to 12–13°C exists if winds weaken or cloud cover increases, but current data favor the lower end of that range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
9月6日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
11°C 42%
10°C 27%
12°C 24%
9°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
6°C或以下
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
6%
9°C
10%
10°C
27%
11°C
42%
12°C
24%
13°C
5%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C或以上
1%
11°C 42%
10°C 27%
12°C 24%
9°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
6°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
7°C
$0 交易量
3%
8°C
$0 交易量
6%
9°C
$0 交易量
10%
10°C
$15 交易量
27%
11°C
$106 交易量
42%
12°C
$31 交易量
24%
13°C
$33 交易量
5%
14°C
$7 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
3%
16°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a cool day in Buenos Aires on September 6, 2026, with daytime highs expected near 9–10°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and southerly winds.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 10–12°C, which together exceed 90% implied probability and reflect trader consensus on limited daytime warming.
A strong cold air advection event, driven by persistent southwesterly to southerly flow behind a frontal passage, has sharply lowered temperatures from the seasonal norm. Highs fell from around 17°C on September 4 to projected 13°C on the 5th and 9–10°C on the 6th, according to consistent model guidance. Clear conditions overnight have allowed efficient radiational cooling, while modest insolation and the cool air mass constrain afternoon peaks. Historical September averages near 19–20°C provide context for how unusual this early-spring chill is.
Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk and no major forecast shifts anticipated before resolution, supporting the narrow probability distribution around 10–12°C. Minor upside risk to 12–13°C exists if winds weaken or cloud cover increases, but current data favor the lower end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$192結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a cool day in Buenos Aires on September 6, 2026, with daytime highs expected near 9–10°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and southerly winds.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 10–12°C, which together exceed 90% implied probability and reflect trader consensus on limited daytime warming.
A strong cold air advection event, driven by persistent southwesterly to southerly flow behind a frontal passage, has sharply lowered temperatures from the seasonal norm. Highs fell from around 17°C on September 4 to projected 13°C on the 5th and 9–10°C on the 6th, according to consistent model guidance. Clear conditions overnight have allowed efficient radiational cooling, while modest insolation and the cool air mass constrain afternoon peaks. Historical September averages near 19–20°C provide context for how unusual this early-spring chill is.
Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk and no major forecast shifts anticipated before resolution, supporting the narrow probability distribution around 10–12°C. Minor upside risk to 12–13°C exists if winds weaken or cloud cover increases, but current data favor the lower end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$192結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a cool day in Buenos Aires on September 6, 2026, with daytime highs expected near 9–10°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and southerly winds.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 10–12°C, which together exceed 90% implied probability and reflect trader consensus on limited daytime warming. A strong cold air advection event, driven by persistent southwesterly to southerly flow behind a frontal passage, has sharply lowered temperatures from the seasonal norm. Highs fell from around 17°C on September 4 to projected 13°C on the 5th and 9–10°C on the 6th, according to consistent model guidance. Clear conditions overnight have allowed efficient radiational cooling, while modest insolation and the cool air mass constrain afternoon peaks. Historical September averages near 19–20°C provide context for how unusual this early-spring chill is. Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk and no major forecast shifts anticipated before resolution, supporting the narrow probability distribution around 10–12°C. Minor upside risk to 12–13°C exists if winds weaken or cloud cover increases, but current data favor the lower end of that range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions