Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate a high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw on September 4, driven by an approaching Atlantic front that will increase cloud cover, raise dew points, and trigger periods of rain with southwest winds of 20–30 km/h. This pattern suppresses diurnal heating relative to the clearer, warmer conditions observed on September 3 (highs near 24 °C). Historical September climatology for the city shows mean daily maxima of 18–20 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation. With resolution occurring within hours, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21 °C (41 %) and 22 °C (24 %) reflects trader alignment with the latest model consensus and limited upside risk from unexpected clearing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日華沙的最高溫度？
9月4日華沙的最高溫度？
21°C 40%
22°C 25%
20°C 20%
23°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
18°C或以下
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
20%
21°C
40%
22°C
25%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
<1%
21°C 40%
22°C 25%
20°C 20%
23°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
18°C或以下
$25 交易量
3%
19°C
$17 交易量
6%
20°C
$531 交易量
20%
21°C
$373 交易量
40%
22°C
$322 交易量
25%
23°C
$245 交易量
7%
24°C
$246 交易量
2%
25°C
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$5 交易量
1%
27°C
$5 交易量
1%
28°C或以上
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate a high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw on September 4, driven by an approaching Atlantic front that will increase cloud cover, raise dew points, and trigger periods of rain with southwest winds of 20–30 km/h. This pattern suppresses diurnal heating relative to the clearer, warmer conditions observed on September 3 (highs near 24 °C). Historical September climatology for the city shows mean daily maxima of 18–20 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation. With resolution occurring within hours, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21 °C (41 %) and 22 °C (24 %) reflects trader alignment with the latest model consensus and limited upside risk from unexpected clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,773結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate a high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw on September 4, driven by an approaching Atlantic front that will increase cloud cover, raise dew points, and trigger periods of rain with southwest winds of 20–30 km/h. This pattern suppresses diurnal heating relative to the clearer, warmer conditions observed on September 3 (highs near 24 °C). Historical September climatology for the city shows mean daily maxima of 18–20 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation. With resolution occurring within hours, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21 °C (41 %) and 22 °C (24 %) reflects trader alignment with the latest model consensus and limited upside risk from unexpected clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,773結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate a high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw on September 4, driven by an approaching Atlantic front that will increase cloud cover, raise dew points, and trigger periods of rain with southwest winds of 20–30 km/h. This pattern suppresses diurnal heating relative to the clearer, warmer conditions observed on September 3 (highs near 24 °C). Historical September climatology for the city shows mean daily maxima of 18–20 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation. With resolution occurring within hours, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21 °C (41 %) and 22 °C (24 %) reflects trader alignment with the latest model consensus and limited upside risk from unexpected clearing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions