Recent model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, Yr, and international guidance points to a post-frontal high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 4, with southwest winds, clearing skies, and a cool air mass limiting daytime heating. This follows a warm September 2 peak near 21–22 °C and Thursday’s frontal passage that dropped readings into the mid-teens. Ensemble outputs cluster daily maxima between 16–18 °C, consistent with early-spring climatology yet tempered by the fresh polar air. Market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (45.5 %) and 19 °C (35 %) reflect trader weighting of slight model spread and potential for marginally stronger insolation under clearing conditions, while lower probabilities on 17 °C and below capture the dominant cool-air signal. Updated NWP runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
9月4日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
18°C 44%
19°C 35%
17°C 13%
20°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
44%
19°C
35%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C或更高
2%
18°C 44%
19°C 35%
17°C 13%
20°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
$62 交易量
1%
13°C
$86 交易量
<1%
14°C
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$150 交易量
2%
16°C
$204 交易量
5%
17°C
$216 交易量
13%
18°C
$268 交易量
44%
19°C
$341 交易量
35%
20°C
$274 交易量
7%
21°C
$195 交易量
3%
22°C或更高
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, Yr, and international guidance points to a post-frontal high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 4, with southwest winds, clearing skies, and a cool air mass limiting daytime heating. This follows a warm September 2 peak near 21–22 °C and Thursday’s frontal passage that dropped readings into the mid-teens. Ensemble outputs cluster daily maxima between 16–18 °C, consistent with early-spring climatology yet tempered by the fresh polar air. Market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (45.5 %) and 19 °C (35 %) reflect trader weighting of slight model spread and potential for marginally stronger insolation under clearing conditions, while lower probabilities on 17 °C and below capture the dominant cool-air signal. Updated NWP runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,610結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, Yr, and international guidance points to a post-frontal high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 4, with southwest winds, clearing skies, and a cool air mass limiting daytime heating. This follows a warm September 2 peak near 21–22 °C and Thursday’s frontal passage that dropped readings into the mid-teens. Ensemble outputs cluster daily maxima between 16–18 °C, consistent with early-spring climatology yet tempered by the fresh polar air. Market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (45.5 %) and 19 °C (35 %) reflect trader weighting of slight model spread and potential for marginally stronger insolation under clearing conditions, while lower probabilities on 17 °C and below capture the dominant cool-air signal. Updated NWP runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,610結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, Yr, and international guidance points to a post-frontal high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 4, with southwest winds, clearing skies, and a cool air mass limiting daytime heating. This follows a warm September 2 peak near 21–22 °C and Thursday’s frontal passage that dropped readings into the mid-teens. Ensemble outputs cluster daily maxima between 16–18 °C, consistent with early-spring climatology yet tempered by the fresh polar air. Market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (45.5 %) and 19 °C (35 %) reflect trader weighting of slight model spread and potential for marginally stronger insolation under clearing conditions, while lower probabilities on 17 °C and below capture the dominant cool-air signal. Updated NWP runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions