Trader consensus centers on 90–91°F as the most probable high for Miami on September 2, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance for typical early-September conditions: strong diurnal heating under partly to mostly sunny skies, with east-southeast flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting afternoon temperatures in the lower 90s. Scattered to likely thunderstorms, driven by sea-breeze convergence and high instability, are expected to develop after peak heating, trimming the upside while keeping the daily maximum near or slightly above the 87–90°F climatological range. Current ensemble runs show limited spread around this outcome, with no tropical systems or strong frontal intrusions altering steering patterns in the next 48 hours, which sustains the 80% combined probability on 90–93°F bins. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日邁阿密的最高溫度?
90-91°F 50%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 8%
94-95°F 6%
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
50%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98-99華氏度
<1%
100°F或以上
<1%
90-91°F 50%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 8%
94-95°F 6%
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
50%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98-99華氏度
<1%
100°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on 90–91°F as the most probable high for Miami on September 2, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance for typical early-September conditions: strong diurnal heating under partly to mostly sunny skies, with east-southeast flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting afternoon temperatures in the lower 90s. Scattered to likely thunderstorms, driven by sea-breeze convergence and high instability, are expected to develop after peak heating, trimming the upside while keeping the daily maximum near or slightly above the 87–90°F climatological range. Current ensemble runs show limited spread around this outcome, with no tropical systems or strong frontal intrusions altering steering patterns in the next 48 hours, which sustains the 80% combined probability on 90–93°F bins. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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