Recent forecast models point to a daily high of 31–32°C in Shanghai on September 1, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses from the southwest and moderate easterly winds that limit rapid cooling. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected through the day are likely to moderate peak readings below late-August levels, aligning with climatological norms for early September when highs typically average near 29–30°C. Updated numerical guidance from the past 48 hours shows minimal shifts in the 30–32°C range, though model spread around timing of heaviest rainfall introduces uncertainty in exact maximum values. Market-implied odds favor 30–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these stable but rain-influenced conditions ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日上海最高溫度?
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 17%
32°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
45%
31°C
32%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 17%
32°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
45%
31°C
32%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models point to a daily high of 31–32°C in Shanghai on September 1, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses from the southwest and moderate easterly winds that limit rapid cooling. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected through the day are likely to moderate peak readings below late-August levels, aligning with climatological norms for early September when highs typically average near 29–30°C. Updated numerical guidance from the past 48 hours shows minimal shifts in the 30–32°C range, though model spread around timing of heaviest rainfall introduces uncertainty in exact maximum values. Market-implied odds favor 30–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these stable but rain-influenced conditions ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions