The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 11°C low on September 2 in Buenos Aires reflects confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations, which recorded a minimum overnight temperature of exactly 11°C amid partly cloudy conditions, northwest winds, and a cold front arrival that limited further cooling. Pre-dawn readings aligned with forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, showing a gradual drop from evening values near 17–19°C without dipping below the threshold. This outcome matches historical September minima for the region and leaves little room for alternative resolutions. Only an official data revision or a redefinition of the measurement site could realistically alter the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
9月2日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
11°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 1.0%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,199 交易量
$1,199 交易量
2026-09-02
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
11°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 1.0%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,199 交易量
$1,199 交易量
2026-09-02
7°C或以下
$57 交易量
否
8°C
$132 交易量
否
9°C
$140 交易量
否
10°C
$147 交易量
否
11°C
$197 交易量
是
12°C
$256 交易量
否
13°C
$62 交易量
否
14°C
$52 交易量
否
15°C
$52 交易量
否
16°C
$52 交易量
否
17°C或以上
$52 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 11°C low on September 2 in Buenos Aires reflects confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations, which recorded a minimum overnight temperature of exactly 11°C amid partly cloudy conditions, northwest winds, and a cold front arrival that limited further cooling. Pre-dawn readings aligned with forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, showing a gradual drop from evening values near 17–19°C without dipping below the threshold. This outcome matches historical September minima for the region and leaves little room for alternative resolutions. Only an official data revision or a redefinition of the measurement site could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,199結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 11°C low on September 2 in Buenos Aires reflects confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations, which recorded a minimum overnight temperature of exactly 11°C amid partly cloudy conditions, northwest winds, and a cold front arrival that limited further cooling. Pre-dawn readings aligned with forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, showing a gradual drop from evening values near 17–19°C without dipping below the threshold. This outcome matches historical September minima for the region and leaves little room for alternative resolutions. Only an official data revision or a redefinition of the measurement site could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,199結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 11°C low on September 2 in Buenos Aires reflects confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations, which recorded a minimum overnight temperature of exactly 11°C amid partly cloudy conditions, northwest winds, and a cold front arrival that limited further cooling. Pre-dawn readings aligned with forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, showing a gradual drop from evening values near 17–19°C without dipping below the threshold. This outcome matches historical September minima for the region and leaves little room for alternative resolutions. Only an official data revision or a redefinition of the measurement site could realistically alter the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions