**Persistent warm, humid air and extensive cloud cover from showers and thunderstorms are keeping overnight lows elevated across New York City on September 3.** Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and local models project minimum temperatures in the lower 70s, with most guidance centering on 70–73°F amid southwest flow, high dew points near 70°F, and limited radiational cooling under overcast skies. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes—70–71°F at 41% implied probability, followed by 68–69°F and 72–73°F—reflecting the current warm, moist regime rather than typical early-September averages near 65°F. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold-air advection or clearing that would allow sharper drops, supporting trader focus on this narrow band while leaving room for minor revisions as evening observations arrive.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日紐約市的最低溫度？
9月3日紐約市的最低溫度？
70-71華氏度 40%
72-73°F 28%
68-69°F 24%
66-67°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
63°F或以下
1%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
24%
70-71華氏度
40%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
3%
76-77華氏度
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
70-71華氏度 40%
72-73°F 28%
68-69°F 24%
66-67°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
63°F或以下
$622 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$350 交易量
6%
66-67°F
$378 交易量
10%
68-69°F
$516 交易量
24%
70-71華氏度
$251 交易量
40%
72-73°F
$158 交易量
28%
74-75°F
$272 交易量
3%
76-77華氏度
$12 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$12 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$10 交易量
<1%
82°F或更高
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid air and extensive cloud cover from showers and thunderstorms are keeping overnight lows elevated across New York City on September 3.** Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and local models project minimum temperatures in the lower 70s, with most guidance centering on 70–73°F amid southwest flow, high dew points near 70°F, and limited radiational cooling under overcast skies. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes—70–71°F at 41% implied probability, followed by 68–69°F and 72–73°F—reflecting the current warm, moist regime rather than typical early-September averages near 65°F. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold-air advection or clearing that would allow sharper drops, supporting trader focus on this narrow band while leaving room for minor revisions as evening observations arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,548結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid air and extensive cloud cover from showers and thunderstorms are keeping overnight lows elevated across New York City on September 3.** Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and local models project minimum temperatures in the lower 70s, with most guidance centering on 70–73°F amid southwest flow, high dew points near 70°F, and limited radiational cooling under overcast skies. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes—70–71°F at 41% implied probability, followed by 68–69°F and 72–73°F—reflecting the current warm, moist regime rather than typical early-September averages near 65°F. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold-air advection or clearing that would allow sharper drops, supporting trader focus on this narrow band while leaving room for minor revisions as evening observations arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,548結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Persistent warm, humid air and extensive cloud cover from showers and thunderstorms are keeping overnight lows elevated across New York City on September 3.** Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and local models project minimum temperatures in the lower 70s, with most guidance centering on 70–73°F amid southwest flow, high dew points near 70°F, and limited radiational cooling under overcast skies. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes—70–71°F at 41% implied probability, followed by 68–69°F and 72–73°F—reflecting the current warm, moist regime rather than typical early-September averages near 65°F. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold-air advection or clearing that would allow sharper drops, supporting trader focus on this narrow band while leaving room for minor revisions as evening observations arrive.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions