Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate San Francisco’s September 4 high will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s, cooler than the 70°F climatological average, due to a persistent marine layer deepened by an early-season cold front and unusually strong onshore flow. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty across the 62–80°F range because small differences in marine-layer depth, afternoon cloud clearance timing, and wind direction can shift maximum temperatures by several degrees; stronger marine influence or lingering low clouds suppress highs toward the lower bins, while any earlier thinning allows greater solar heating and pushes readings higher. Historical analogs show September extremes vary widely under similar patterns, and the next model runs plus real-time observations will further refine the most probable outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月4日的最高溫度？
舊金山9月4日的最高溫度？
70-71°F 33%
68-69華氏度 30%
74-75華氏度 19%
66-67°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
61°F或以下
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
18%
68-69華氏度
30%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
6%
74-75華氏度
19%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
7%
80°F或以上
11%
70-71°F 33%
68-69華氏度 30%
74-75華氏度 19%
66-67°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
61°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
6%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
9%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
18%
68-69華氏度
$0 交易量
30%
70-71°F
$2 交易量
33%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
6%
74-75華氏度
$0 交易量
19%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
15%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
7%
80°F或以上
$0 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate San Francisco’s September 4 high will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s, cooler than the 70°F climatological average, due to a persistent marine layer deepened by an early-season cold front and unusually strong onshore flow. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty across the 62–80°F range because small differences in marine-layer depth, afternoon cloud clearance timing, and wind direction can shift maximum temperatures by several degrees; stronger marine influence or lingering low clouds suppress highs toward the lower bins, while any earlier thinning allows greater solar heating and pushes readings higher. Historical analogs show September extremes vary widely under similar patterns, and the next model runs plus real-time observations will further refine the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$2結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate San Francisco’s September 4 high will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s, cooler than the 70°F climatological average, due to a persistent marine layer deepened by an early-season cold front and unusually strong onshore flow. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty across the 62–80°F range because small differences in marine-layer depth, afternoon cloud clearance timing, and wind direction can shift maximum temperatures by several degrees; stronger marine influence or lingering low clouds suppress highs toward the lower bins, while any earlier thinning allows greater solar heating and pushes readings higher. Historical analogs show September extremes vary widely under similar patterns, and the next model runs plus real-time observations will further refine the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate San Francisco’s September 4 high will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s, cooler than the 70°F climatological average, due to a persistent marine layer deepened by an early-season cold front and unusually strong onshore flow. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty across the 62–80°F range because small differences in marine-layer depth, afternoon cloud clearance timing, and wind direction can shift maximum temperatures by several degrees; stronger marine influence or lingering low clouds suppress highs toward the lower bins, while any earlier thinning allows greater solar heating and pushes readings higher. Historical analogs show September extremes vary widely under similar patterns, and the next model runs plus real-time observations will further refine the most probable outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions