Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by WeatherBug and PredictWind indicate a high near 27–28°C in Incheon on September 2, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating following overnight rain. These conditions align with early-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 27–29°C amid transitioning monsoon influences. Trader consensus reflected in the 42% probability on 28°C and 29.5% on 27°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range from timing of any remaining showers, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while clearer intervals support the modest upside to 29°C priced at 20.5%. Updated model runs and official briefings through the morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
28°C 43%
27°C 29%
29°C 21%
26°C 10%
$16,567 交易量
$16,567 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
29%
28°C
43%
29°C
21%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
27°C 29%
29°C 21%
26°C 10%
$16,567 交易量
$16,567 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
29%
28°C
43%
29°C
21%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by WeatherBug and PredictWind indicate a high near 27–28°C in Incheon on September 2, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating following overnight rain. These conditions align with early-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 27–29°C amid transitioning monsoon influences. Trader consensus reflected in the 42% probability on 28°C and 29.5% on 27°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range from timing of any remaining showers, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while clearer intervals support the modest upside to 29°C priced at 20.5%. Updated model runs and official briefings through the morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions