Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a strengthening frontal system and associated cloud cover with widespread rain will limit daytime solar heating in Shanghai on September 2, keeping the maximum near 28–30°C. Elevated humidity and northeasterly flow further reduce the potential for higher readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and suppressing boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces the tight market clustering around 29°C and 30°C, as small differences in rain timing or cloud thickness could shift the observed peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local Shanghai forecasts will provide the final resolution criteria later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日上海最高溫度？
9月2日上海最高溫度？
29°C 34%
30°C 29%
31°C 14%
28°C 11%
最新
$29,202 交易量
最新
$29,202 交易量
2026-09-02
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
11%
29°C
34%
30°C
29%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 29%
31°C 14%
28°C 11%
最新
$29,202 交易量
最新
$29,202 交易量
2026-09-02
25°C or below
$3,006 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,746 交易量
1%
27°C
$777 交易量
10%
28°C
$3,232 交易量
11%
29°C
$7,408 交易量
34%
30°C
$4,391 交易量
29%
31°C
$6,133 交易量
14%
32°C
$888 交易量
3%
33°C
$853 交易量
<1%
34°C
$336 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$432 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a strengthening frontal system and associated cloud cover with widespread rain will limit daytime solar heating in Shanghai on September 2, keeping the maximum near 28–30°C. Elevated humidity and northeasterly flow further reduce the potential for higher readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and suppressing boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces the tight market clustering around 29°C and 30°C, as small differences in rain timing or cloud thickness could shift the observed peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local Shanghai forecasts will provide the final resolution criteria later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$29,202結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a strengthening frontal system and associated cloud cover with widespread rain will limit daytime solar heating in Shanghai on September 2, keeping the maximum near 28–30°C. Elevated humidity and northeasterly flow further reduce the potential for higher readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and suppressing boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces the tight market clustering around 29°C and 30°C, as small differences in rain timing or cloud thickness could shift the observed peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local Shanghai forecasts will provide the final resolution criteria later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,202結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a strengthening frontal system and associated cloud cover with widespread rain will limit daytime solar heating in Shanghai on September 2, keeping the maximum near 28–30°C. Elevated humidity and northeasterly flow further reduce the potential for higher readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and suppressing boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces the tight market clustering around 29°C and 30°C, as small differences in rain timing or cloud thickness could shift the observed peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local Shanghai forecasts will provide the final resolution criteria later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions