Trader consensus on a 25°C low for Shanghai on September 2 reflects consistent numerical weather model outputs and observational data showing overnight minima holding near that threshold amid humid, cloudy conditions with light northeast winds. High dew points near 24–26°C and 80–90% relative humidity have limited radiational cooling, aligning with seasonal September baselines where typical lows range 23–25°C under similar regimes. Official agency forecasts converge on this value without significant model spread, locking in the outcome with minimal variance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow to drop readings to 24°C or below before resolution criteria finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日上海最低溫度？
9月2日上海最低溫度？
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$9,650 交易量
$9,650 交易量
2026-09-02
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$9,650 交易量
$9,650 交易量
2026-09-02
22°C or below
$2,198 交易量
No
23°C
$1,593 交易量
No
24°C
$972 交易量
No
25°C
$1,082 交易量
Yes
26°C
$1,064 交易量
No
27°C
$1,309 交易量
No
28°C
$312 交易量
No
29°C
$236 交易量
No
30°C
$317 交易量
No
31°C
$201 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$366 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 25°C low for Shanghai on September 2 reflects consistent numerical weather model outputs and observational data showing overnight minima holding near that threshold amid humid, cloudy conditions with light northeast winds. High dew points near 24–26°C and 80–90% relative humidity have limited radiational cooling, aligning with seasonal September baselines where typical lows range 23–25°C under similar regimes. Official agency forecasts converge on this value without significant model spread, locking in the outcome with minimal variance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow to drop readings to 24°C or below before resolution criteria finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$9,650結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 25°C low for Shanghai on September 2 reflects consistent numerical weather model outputs and observational data showing overnight minima holding near that threshold amid humid, cloudy conditions with light northeast winds. High dew points near 24–26°C and 80–90% relative humidity have limited radiational cooling, aligning with seasonal September baselines where typical lows range 23–25°C under similar regimes. Official agency forecasts converge on this value without significant model spread, locking in the outcome with minimal variance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow to drop readings to 24°C or below before resolution criteria finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,650結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on a 25°C low for Shanghai on September 2 reflects consistent numerical weather model outputs and observational data showing overnight minima holding near that threshold amid humid, cloudy conditions with light northeast winds. High dew points near 24–26°C and 80–90% relative humidity have limited radiational cooling, aligning with seasonal September baselines where typical lows range 23–25°C under similar regimes. Official agency forecasts converge on this value without significant model spread, locking in the outcome with minimal variance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow to drop readings to 24°C or below before resolution criteria finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions