Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 4 will likely settle near 26–27°C, driven by persistent high humidity, northeast winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent observations show surface temperatures holding above 25°C through the night amid scattered showers, aligning with historical September baselines where minima rarely drop below 24°C without stronger cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus on 27°C reflects the latest ensemble runs showing limited variability, though updated China Meteorological Administration guidance or real-time station data tomorrow could shift probabilities if clearer skies allow further cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日上海最低溫度？
9月4日上海最低溫度？
27°C 66%
26°C 27%
25°C 6%
28°C 5.4%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C
27%
27°C
66%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
27°C 66%
26°C 27%
25°C 6%
28°C 5.4%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
$196 交易量
<1%
22°C
$177 交易量
<1%
23°C
$137 交易量
<1%
24°C
$275 交易量
5%
25°C
$343 交易量
6%
26°C
$547 交易量
27%
27°C
$1,478 交易量
66%
28°C
$170 交易量
5%
29°C
$565 交易量
1%
30°C
$175 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$247 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 4 will likely settle near 26–27°C, driven by persistent high humidity, northeast winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent observations show surface temperatures holding above 25°C through the night amid scattered showers, aligning with historical September baselines where minima rarely drop below 24°C without stronger cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus on 27°C reflects the latest ensemble runs showing limited variability, though updated China Meteorological Administration guidance or real-time station data tomorrow could shift probabilities if clearer skies allow further cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,308結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 4 will likely settle near 26–27°C, driven by persistent high humidity, northeast winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent observations show surface temperatures holding above 25°C through the night amid scattered showers, aligning with historical September baselines where minima rarely drop below 24°C without stronger cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus on 27°C reflects the latest ensemble runs showing limited variability, though updated China Meteorological Administration guidance or real-time station data tomorrow could shift probabilities if clearer skies allow further cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,308結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 4 will likely settle near 26–27°C, driven by persistent high humidity, northeast winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent observations show surface temperatures holding above 25°C through the night amid scattered showers, aligning with historical September baselines where minima rarely drop below 24°C without stronger cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus on 27°C reflects the latest ensemble runs showing limited variability, though updated China Meteorological Administration guidance or real-time station data tomorrow could shift probabilities if clearer skies allow further cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions