National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 5 emphasize sunny conditions under northerly flow following earlier frontal passage, with daytime highs projected in the lower 80s and lows near 67°F. This setup, driven by clear skies, light winds, and reduced humidity, aligns with model consensus favoring a peak around 80–81°F and underpins the 55% market-implied probability for that bin. Nearby outcomes at 78–79°F capture residual forecast spread from minor timing or microclimate differences, while higher or lower ranges reflect lower odds of deviations from the stable post-frontal pattern. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs will refine exact maxima before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月5日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月5日的最高溫度？
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 9%
76-77°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
華氏69度或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
56%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 9%
76-77°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
華氏69度或以下
$519 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$174 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$570 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$370 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$769 交易量
5%
78-79°F
$1,990 交易量
29%
80-81°F
$2,799 交易量
56%
82-83°F
$1,345 交易量
9%
84-85°F
$548 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$605 交易量
1%
88°F或更高
$120 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 5 emphasize sunny conditions under northerly flow following earlier frontal passage, with daytime highs projected in the lower 80s and lows near 67°F. This setup, driven by clear skies, light winds, and reduced humidity, aligns with model consensus favoring a peak around 80–81°F and underpins the 55% market-implied probability for that bin. Nearby outcomes at 78–79°F capture residual forecast spread from minor timing or microclimate differences, while higher or lower ranges reflect lower odds of deviations from the stable post-frontal pattern. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs will refine exact maxima before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,810結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 5 emphasize sunny conditions under northerly flow following earlier frontal passage, with daytime highs projected in the lower 80s and lows near 67°F. This setup, driven by clear skies, light winds, and reduced humidity, aligns with model consensus favoring a peak around 80–81°F and underpins the 55% market-implied probability for that bin. Nearby outcomes at 78–79°F capture residual forecast spread from minor timing or microclimate differences, while higher or lower ranges reflect lower odds of deviations from the stable post-frontal pattern. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs will refine exact maxima before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,810結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 5 emphasize sunny conditions under northerly flow following earlier frontal passage, with daytime highs projected in the lower 80s and lows near 67°F. This setup, driven by clear skies, light winds, and reduced humidity, aligns with model consensus favoring a peak around 80–81°F and underpins the 55% market-implied probability for that bin. Nearby outcomes at 78–79°F capture residual forecast spread from minor timing or microclimate differences, while higher or lower ranges reflect lower odds of deviations from the stable post-frontal pattern. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs will refine exact maxima before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions