Ongoing high-pressure ridging and southerly flow have sustained above-normal heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to a sunny September 6 high near 100–101°F and heat indices exceeding 107°F. Recent days of 100°F readings at DFW Airport reflect this entrenched pattern, well above the 92.5°F climatological average. Market-implied odds favor 98–99°F or 100–101°F because small differences in afternoon mixing, dew-point evolution, or minor model spread could shift the daily maximum across that narrow threshold. Stronger winds or brief cloud cover would favor the lower bin, while full insolation and higher moisture support the upper range; later model updates or real-time observations will clarify resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日達拉斯的最高溫度？
9月6日達拉斯的最高溫度？
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 41%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 5%
最新
$16,064 交易量
最新
$16,064 交易量
2026-09-06
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90-91度
<1%
92-93華氏度
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
7%
華氏104-105度
2%
華氏106度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 41%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 5%
最新
$16,064 交易量
最新
$16,064 交易量
2026-09-06
87°F或以下
$1,071 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$391 交易量
<1%
華氏90-91度
$337 交易量
<1%
92-93華氏度
$913 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$601 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$2,526 交易量
5%
98-99°F
$3,304 交易量
50%
100-101°F
$4,528 交易量
41%
102-103°F
$1,097 交易量
7%
華氏104-105度
$785 交易量
2%
華氏106度或更高
$512 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing high-pressure ridging and southerly flow have sustained above-normal heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to a sunny September 6 high near 100–101°F and heat indices exceeding 107°F. Recent days of 100°F readings at DFW Airport reflect this entrenched pattern, well above the 92.5°F climatological average. Market-implied odds favor 98–99°F or 100–101°F because small differences in afternoon mixing, dew-point evolution, or minor model spread could shift the daily maximum across that narrow threshold. Stronger winds or brief cloud cover would favor the lower bin, while full insolation and higher moisture support the upper range; later model updates or real-time observations will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,064結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing high-pressure ridging and southerly flow have sustained above-normal heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to a sunny September 6 high near 100–101°F and heat indices exceeding 107°F. Recent days of 100°F readings at DFW Airport reflect this entrenched pattern, well above the 92.5°F climatological average. Market-implied odds favor 98–99°F or 100–101°F because small differences in afternoon mixing, dew-point evolution, or minor model spread could shift the daily maximum across that narrow threshold. Stronger winds or brief cloud cover would favor the lower bin, while full insolation and higher moisture support the upper range; later model updates or real-time observations will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,064結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETOngoing high-pressure ridging and southerly flow have sustained above-normal heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to a sunny September 6 high near 100–101°F and heat indices exceeding 107°F. Recent days of 100°F readings at DFW Airport reflect this entrenched pattern, well above the 92.5°F climatological average. Market-implied odds favor 98–99°F or 100–101°F because small differences in afternoon mixing, dew-point evolution, or minor model spread could shift the daily maximum across that narrow threshold. Stronger winds or brief cloud cover would favor the lower bin, while full insolation and higher moisture support the upper range; later model updates or real-time observations will clarify resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions