Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Cape Town on September 8, driven by clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable spring high-pressure regime. These conditions align with typical early-September patterns where average overnight lows range 11–13°C but recent warmer anomalies have moderated cooling. Official measurements from stations such as Cape Town International will determine the precise low, with any model revisions or localized cold-air drainage potentially shifting outcomes. Trader consensus heavily favoring 12°C reflects assessed uncertainty in final observational data and minor forecast spreads rather than strong evidence for cooler readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日開普敦最低溫度？
9月8日開普敦最低溫度？
12°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$8,748 交易量
$8,748 交易量
2026-09-08
11°C或以下
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
12°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$8,748 交易量
$8,748 交易量
2026-09-08
11°C或以下
$142 交易量
否
12°C
$541 交易量
是
13°C
$5,729 交易量
否
14°C
$469 交易量
否
15°C
$477 交易量
否
16°C
$337 交易量
否
17°C
$190 交易量
否
18°C
$779 交易量
否
19°C
$35 交易量
否
20°C
$35 交易量
否
21°C或以上
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Cape Town on September 8, driven by clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable spring high-pressure regime. These conditions align with typical early-September patterns where average overnight lows range 11–13°C but recent warmer anomalies have moderated cooling. Official measurements from stations such as Cape Town International will determine the precise low, with any model revisions or localized cold-air drainage potentially shifting outcomes. Trader consensus heavily favoring 12°C reflects assessed uncertainty in final observational data and minor forecast spreads rather than strong evidence for cooler readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
交易量
$8,748結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Cape Town on September 8, driven by clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable spring high-pressure regime. These conditions align with typical early-September patterns where average overnight lows range 11–13°C but recent warmer anomalies have moderated cooling. Official measurements from stations such as Cape Town International will determine the precise low, with any model revisions or localized cold-air drainage potentially shifting outcomes. Trader consensus heavily favoring 12°C reflects assessed uncertainty in final observational data and minor forecast spreads rather than strong evidence for cooler readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,748結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Cape Town on September 8, driven by clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable spring high-pressure regime. These conditions align with typical early-September patterns where average overnight lows range 11–13°C but recent warmer anomalies have moderated cooling. Official measurements from stations such as Cape Town International will determine the precise low, with any model revisions or localized cold-air drainage potentially shifting outcomes. Trader consensus heavily favoring 12°C reflects assessed uncertainty in final observational data and minor forecast spreads rather than strong evidence for cooler readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions