Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 16 will reach approximately 11–12°C under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds of 25–40 km/h. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling overnight while the persistent breeze limits extreme drops by mixing boundary-layer air. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 9–11°C because small variations in wind speed, exact measurement timing at official stations, and localized microclimate effects can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 10–12°C, providing context for the narrow probability spread, with final resolution dependent on South African Weather Service observations once the full diurnal cycle completes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日開普敦最低溫度？
9月16日開普敦最低溫度？
11°C 99.5%
7°C或以下 1.0%
9°C 1.0%
10°C 1.0%
$1,901 交易量
$1,901 交易量
2026-09-16
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
11°C 99.5%
7°C或以下 1.0%
9°C 1.0%
10°C 1.0%
$1,901 交易量
$1,901 交易量
2026-09-16
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
8°C
$16 交易量
否
9°C
$100 交易量
否
10°C
$20 交易量
否
11°C
$259 交易量
是
12°C
$254 交易量
否
13°C
$1,252 交易量
否
14°C
$0 交易量
否
15°C
$0 交易量
否
16°C
$0 交易量
否
17°C或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 16 will reach approximately 11–12°C under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds of 25–40 km/h. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling overnight while the persistent breeze limits extreme drops by mixing boundary-layer air. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 9–11°C because small variations in wind speed, exact measurement timing at official stations, and localized microclimate effects can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 10–12°C, providing context for the narrow probability spread, with final resolution dependent on South African Weather Service observations once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,901結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 16 will reach approximately 11–12°C under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds of 25–40 km/h. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling overnight while the persistent breeze limits extreme drops by mixing boundary-layer air. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 9–11°C because small variations in wind speed, exact measurement timing at official stations, and localized microclimate effects can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 10–12°C, providing context for the narrow probability spread, with final resolution dependent on South African Weather Service observations once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,901結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 16 will reach approximately 11–12°C under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds of 25–40 km/h. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling overnight while the persistent breeze limits extreme drops by mixing boundary-layer air. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 9–11°C because small variations in wind speed, exact measurement timing at official stations, and localized microclimate effects can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 10–12°C, providing context for the narrow probability spread, with final resolution dependent on South African Weather Service observations once the full diurnal cycle completes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions