Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national services indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 18 likely ranging 12–14°C under mild southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with a broader September pattern running 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 11°C, driven by persistent Atlantic air masses rather than cold outbreaks. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact minima, as clearer periods could enhance surface cooling while increased cloud cover or stronger mixing raises values. Traders appear balanced across mid-range outcomes because upcoming model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer conditions and wind speeds critical to the daily minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
9月18日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
12°C 40%
13°C 30%
11°C 19%
14°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
7°C或以下
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
11%
11°C
19%
12°C
40%
13°C
30%
14°C
19%
15°C
11%
16°C
7%
17°C或以上
5%
12°C 40%
13°C 30%
11°C 19%
14°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
8°C
$0 交易量
2%
9°C
$0 交易量
2%
10°C
$0 交易量
11%
11°C
$0 交易量
19%
12°C
$0 交易量
40%
13°C
$0 交易量
30%
14°C
$0 交易量
19%
15°C
$0 交易量
11%
16°C
$0 交易量
7%
17°C或以上
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national services indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 18 likely ranging 12–14°C under mild southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with a broader September pattern running 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 11°C, driven by persistent Atlantic air masses rather than cold outbreaks. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact minima, as clearer periods could enhance surface cooling while increased cloud cover or stronger mixing raises values. Traders appear balanced across mid-range outcomes because upcoming model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer conditions and wind speeds critical to the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national services indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 18 likely ranging 12–14°C under mild southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with a broader September pattern running 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 11°C, driven by persistent Atlantic air masses rather than cold outbreaks. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact minima, as clearer periods could enhance surface cooling while increased cloud cover or stronger mixing raises values. Traders appear balanced across mid-range outcomes because upcoming model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer conditions and wind speeds critical to the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national services indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 18 likely ranging 12–14°C under mild southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with a broader September pattern running 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 11°C, driven by persistent Atlantic air masses rather than cold outbreaks. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact minima, as clearer periods could enhance surface cooling while increased cloud cover or stronger mixing raises values. Traders appear balanced across mid-range outcomes because upcoming model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer conditions and wind speeds critical to the daily minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions