Current forecast models from European and U.S. agencies show Amsterdam's overnight low settling near 12–13°C under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling and promote mixing of warmer air. These conditions, typical for mid-September in the region with an average climatological low of 10.9°C, reduce the chance of sharper drops below 12°C while making 14°C or higher unlikely amid ongoing Atlantic moisture. Trader sentiment, reflected in the near-even split between the 12°C and 13°C outcomes, tracks the latest model consensus and real-time observations, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
9月17日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
12°C 49%
10°C 19%
11°C 11%
8°C或以下 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
19%
11°C
11%
12°C
49%
13°C
50%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或以上
<1%
12°C 49%
10°C 19%
11°C 11%
8°C或以下 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
8°C或以下
$46 交易量
1%
9°C
$0 交易量
1%
10°C
$0 交易量
19%
11°C
$0 交易量
11%
12°C
$0 交易量
49%
13°C
$169 交易量
50%
14°C
$1,926 交易量
<1%
15°C
$77 交易量
<1%
16°C
$37 交易量
<1%
17°C
$37 交易量
<1%
18°C或以上
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European and U.S. agencies show Amsterdam's overnight low settling near 12–13°C under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling and promote mixing of warmer air. These conditions, typical for mid-September in the region with an average climatological low of 10.9°C, reduce the chance of sharper drops below 12°C while making 14°C or higher unlikely amid ongoing Atlantic moisture. Trader sentiment, reflected in the near-even split between the 12°C and 13°C outcomes, tracks the latest model consensus and real-time observations, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,330結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European and U.S. agencies show Amsterdam's overnight low settling near 12–13°C under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling and promote mixing of warmer air. These conditions, typical for mid-September in the region with an average climatological low of 10.9°C, reduce the chance of sharper drops below 12°C while making 14°C or higher unlikely amid ongoing Atlantic moisture. Trader sentiment, reflected in the near-even split between the 12°C and 13°C outcomes, tracks the latest model consensus and real-time observations, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,330結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecast models from European and U.S. agencies show Amsterdam's overnight low settling near 12–13°C under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling and promote mixing of warmer air. These conditions, typical for mid-September in the region with an average climatological low of 10.9°C, reduce the chance of sharper drops below 12°C while making 14°C or higher unlikely amid ongoing Atlantic moisture. Trader sentiment, reflected in the near-even split between the 12°C and 13°C outcomes, tracks the latest model consensus and real-time observations, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions