Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on September 8 under clearing skies after recent light rain, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow favor daytime heating, while low-level moisture and weak steering winds introduce uncertainty over afternoon cloud development or isolated convection that could cap the maximum. Historical September baselines near 31–32°C provide context for the slight elevation expected this year, with traders weighing model runs that differ modestly on exact timing of any showers. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日深圳最高溫度？
9月8日深圳最高溫度？
33°C 40%
34°C 35%
30°C 13%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
13%
31°C
9%
32°C
10%
33°C
32%
34°C
35%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C
6%
38°C或以上
1%
33°C 40%
34°C 35%
30°C 13%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
28°C或以下
$115 交易量
<1%
29°C
$63 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
13%
31°C
$0 交易量
9%
32°C
$29 交易量
10%
33°C
$196 交易量
32%
34°C
$5 交易量
35%
35°C
$18 交易量
9%
36°C
$28 交易量
5%
37°C
$0 交易量
6%
38°C或以上
$111 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on September 8 under clearing skies after recent light rain, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow favor daytime heating, while low-level moisture and weak steering winds introduce uncertainty over afternoon cloud development or isolated convection that could cap the maximum. Historical September baselines near 31–32°C provide context for the slight elevation expected this year, with traders weighing model runs that differ modestly on exact timing of any showers. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$566結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on September 8 under clearing skies after recent light rain, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow favor daytime heating, while low-level moisture and weak steering winds introduce uncertainty over afternoon cloud development or isolated convection that could cap the maximum. Historical September baselines near 31–32°C provide context for the slight elevation expected this year, with traders weighing model runs that differ modestly on exact timing of any showers. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$566結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on September 8 under clearing skies after recent light rain, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow favor daytime heating, while low-level moisture and weak steering winds introduce uncertainty over afternoon cloud development or isolated convection that could cap the maximum. Historical September baselines near 31–32°C provide context for the slight elevation expected this year, with traders weighing model runs that differ modestly on exact timing of any showers. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions