Short-term forecast model spreads are driving the tight market distribution around Shenzhen's September 8 minimum temperature, with outcomes clustered between the low-20s and low-30s °C. Key variables include the strength and timing of any South China Sea moisture influx, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and local wind patterns that modulate the urban heat island effect in this subtropical coastal city. Historical early-September minima typically range 24–27 °C, but ensemble guidance shows sensitivity to subtle shifts in the subtropical high and possible weak frontal passages. New runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF later this week could narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日深圳最低溫度？
9月8日深圳最低溫度？
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
22°C或以下
35%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
34%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
18%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
30%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
22°C或以下
$54 交易量
35%
23°C
$0 交易量
49%
24°C
$0 交易量
49%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
34%
27°C
$0 交易量
26%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
18%
31°C
$0 交易量
1%
32°C或以上
$0 交易量
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast model spreads are driving the tight market distribution around Shenzhen's September 8 minimum temperature, with outcomes clustered between the low-20s and low-30s °C. Key variables include the strength and timing of any South China Sea moisture influx, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and local wind patterns that modulate the urban heat island effect in this subtropical coastal city. Historical early-September minima typically range 24–27 °C, but ensemble guidance shows sensitivity to subtle shifts in the subtropical high and possible weak frontal passages. New runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF later this week could narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$54結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast model spreads are driving the tight market distribution around Shenzhen's September 8 minimum temperature, with outcomes clustered between the low-20s and low-30s °C. Key variables include the strength and timing of any South China Sea moisture influx, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and local wind patterns that modulate the urban heat island effect in this subtropical coastal city. Historical early-September minima typically range 24–27 °C, but ensemble guidance shows sensitivity to subtle shifts in the subtropical high and possible weak frontal passages. New runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF later this week could narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$54結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETShort-term forecast model spreads are driving the tight market distribution around Shenzhen's September 8 minimum temperature, with outcomes clustered between the low-20s and low-30s °C. Key variables include the strength and timing of any South China Sea moisture influx, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and local wind patterns that modulate the urban heat island effect in this subtropical coastal city. Historical early-September minima typically range 24–27 °C, but ensemble guidance shows sensitivity to subtle shifts in the subtropical high and possible weak frontal passages. New runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF later this week could narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions