Recent forecasts from models including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance point to a peak temperature near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered afternoon showers typical of the early rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the seasonal climatological peak near 25°C. Trader consensus around 23–24°C versus lower odds for 25°C or higher reflects model agreement on limited afternoon clearing, while the narrow spread versus 22°C outcomes highlights sensitivity to exact thunderstorm timing and any late-day wind shifts that could alter boundary-layer mixing. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at standard reporting stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
9月8日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
24°C 37%
23°C 28%
25°C 或以上 27%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
28%
24°C
37%
25°C 或以上
27%
24°C 37%
23°C 28%
25°C 或以上 27%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
15°C或以下
$437 交易量
<1%
16°C
$531 交易量
<1%
17°C
$405 交易量
<1%
18°C
$135 交易量
<1%
19°C
$155 交易量
<1%
20°C
$146 交易量
1%
21°C
$75 交易量
3%
22°C
$98 交易量
9%
23°C
$123 交易量
28%
24°C
$321 交易量
37%
25°C 或以上
$449 交易量
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance point to a peak temperature near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered afternoon showers typical of the early rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the seasonal climatological peak near 25°C. Trader consensus around 23–24°C versus lower odds for 25°C or higher reflects model agreement on limited afternoon clearing, while the narrow spread versus 22°C outcomes highlights sensitivity to exact thunderstorm timing and any late-day wind shifts that could alter boundary-layer mixing. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at standard reporting stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,874結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance point to a peak temperature near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered afternoon showers typical of the early rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the seasonal climatological peak near 25°C. Trader consensus around 23–24°C versus lower odds for 25°C or higher reflects model agreement on limited afternoon clearing, while the narrow spread versus 22°C outcomes highlights sensitivity to exact thunderstorm timing and any late-day wind shifts that could alter boundary-layer mixing. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at standard reporting stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,874結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from models including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance point to a peak temperature near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered afternoon showers typical of the early rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the seasonal climatological peak near 25°C. Trader consensus around 23–24°C versus lower odds for 25°C or higher reflects model agreement on limited afternoon clearing, while the narrow spread versus 22°C outcomes highlights sensitivity to exact thunderstorm timing and any late-day wind shifts that could alter boundary-layer mixing. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at standard reporting stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions