Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles project a daytime high in Munich on September 7 near 27–28 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and only isolated shower chances. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (27.5 %), as traders weigh the consensus around seasonal norms elevated by recent stable high-pressure patterns. Historical September 7 averages sit near 21 °C, while the all-time record stands at 29.6 °C; limited model spread and minimal advection of warmer air keep probabilities for 29 °C or higher below 20 %. Updated runs and any shifts in cloud timing ahead of resolution will likely drive the next adjustments in implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日慕尼黑最高溫度？
9月7日慕尼黑最高溫度？
27°C 41%
28°C 30%
26°C 16%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
41%
28°C
30%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C或以上
2%
27°C 41%
28°C 30%
26°C 16%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
21°C或以下
$125 交易量
1%
22°C
$117 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
5%
25°C
$0 交易量
5%
26°C
$230 交易量
16%
27°C
$211 交易量
41%
28°C
$222 交易量
30%
29°C
$187 交易量
10%
30°C
$0 交易量
3%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles project a daytime high in Munich on September 7 near 27–28 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and only isolated shower chances. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (27.5 %), as traders weigh the consensus around seasonal norms elevated by recent stable high-pressure patterns. Historical September 7 averages sit near 21 °C, while the all-time record stands at 29.6 °C; limited model spread and minimal advection of warmer air keep probabilities for 29 °C or higher below 20 %. Updated runs and any shifts in cloud timing ahead of resolution will likely drive the next adjustments in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,093結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles project a daytime high in Munich on September 7 near 27–28 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and only isolated shower chances. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (27.5 %), as traders weigh the consensus around seasonal norms elevated by recent stable high-pressure patterns. Historical September 7 averages sit near 21 °C, while the all-time record stands at 29.6 °C; limited model spread and minimal advection of warmer air keep probabilities for 29 °C or higher below 20 %. Updated runs and any shifts in cloud timing ahead of resolution will likely drive the next adjustments in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,093結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles project a daytime high in Munich on September 7 near 27–28 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and only isolated shower chances. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (27.5 %), as traders weigh the consensus around seasonal norms elevated by recent stable high-pressure patterns. Historical September 7 averages sit near 21 °C, while the all-time record stands at 29.6 °C; limited model spread and minimal advection of warmer air keep probabilities for 29 °C or higher below 20 %. Updated runs and any shifts in cloud timing ahead of resolution will likely drive the next adjustments in implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions