**Current forecasts from sources including the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) models, ECMWF, and commercial providers converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Munich on September 6, 2026, under high-pressure influence following Saturday’s frontal passage.** Clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity support efficient daytime heating without the strong insolation or subsidence that would push values notably higher. This places the outcome modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.2°C for the date while remaining well below historical extremes near 29°C. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with limited afternoon cloud cover and no significant moisture return expected before evening. The market-implied distribution—peaking at 24°C (51%) with secondary weight on 23°C and 25°C—reflects this narrow, well-defined range, as traders incorporate the latest short-range guidance and recognize the low likelihood of large forecast shifts within the final 24 hours. Resolution will hinge on the official DWD maximum temperature reading at the Munich station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
9月6日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
24°C 51%
25°C 20%
23°C 19%
22°C 4%
最新
$17,306 交易量
最新
$17,306 交易量
2026-09-06
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
51%
25°C
20%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
3%
24°C 51%
25°C 20%
23°C 19%
22°C 4%
最新
$17,306 交易量
最新
$17,306 交易量
2026-09-06
18°C或以下
$350 交易量
<1%
19°C
$15,051 交易量
<1%
20°C
$110 交易量
1%
21°C
$63 交易量
2%
22°C
$271 交易量
4%
23°C
$494 交易量
19%
24°C
$657 交易量
51%
25°C
$303 交易量
20%
26°C
$6 交易量
4%
27°C
$1 交易量
1%
28°C或以上
$5 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources including the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) models, ECMWF, and commercial providers converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Munich on September 6, 2026, under high-pressure influence following Saturday’s frontal passage.** Clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity support efficient daytime heating without the strong insolation or subsidence that would push values notably higher. This places the outcome modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.2°C for the date while remaining well below historical extremes near 29°C.
Model consensus shows minimal spread, with limited afternoon cloud cover and no significant moisture return expected before evening. The market-implied distribution—peaking at 24°C (51%) with secondary weight on 23°C and 25°C—reflects this narrow, well-defined range, as traders incorporate the latest short-range guidance and recognize the low likelihood of large forecast shifts within the final 24 hours. Resolution will hinge on the official DWD maximum temperature reading at the Munich station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$17,306結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources including the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) models, ECMWF, and commercial providers converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Munich on September 6, 2026, under high-pressure influence following Saturday’s frontal passage.** Clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity support efficient daytime heating without the strong insolation or subsidence that would push values notably higher. This places the outcome modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.2°C for the date while remaining well below historical extremes near 29°C.
Model consensus shows minimal spread, with limited afternoon cloud cover and no significant moisture return expected before evening. The market-implied distribution—peaking at 24°C (51%) with secondary weight on 23°C and 25°C—reflects this narrow, well-defined range, as traders incorporate the latest short-range guidance and recognize the low likelihood of large forecast shifts within the final 24 hours. Resolution will hinge on the official DWD maximum temperature reading at the Munich station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,306結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Current forecasts from sources including the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) models, ECMWF, and commercial providers converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Munich on September 6, 2026, under high-pressure influence following Saturday’s frontal passage.** Clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity support efficient daytime heating without the strong insolation or subsidence that would push values notably higher. This places the outcome modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.2°C for the date while remaining well below historical extremes near 29°C. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with limited afternoon cloud cover and no significant moisture return expected before evening. The market-implied distribution—peaking at 24°C (51%) with secondary weight on 23°C and 25°C—reflects this narrow, well-defined range, as traders incorporate the latest short-range guidance and recognize the low likelihood of large forecast shifts within the final 24 hours. Resolution will hinge on the official DWD maximum temperature reading at the Munich station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions