Recent forecast models from sources including DWD and ECMWF indicate a frontal system bringing rain and westerly flow to Munich on September 5, with daytime highs near 23–24 °C but variable overnight clearing that could enhance radiational cooling. This setup creates uncertainty in the minimum temperature, as cloud cover and wind mixing may limit drops while clearer periods after precipitation favor values near or below the 11.6 °C climatological average low. Trader emphasis on the 11 °C-or-below outcome alongside elevated odds for warmer thresholds reflects model spread in boundary-layer processes and timing of any post-frontal high pressure, with resolution hinging on updated runs closer to the date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日慕尼黑最低溫度?
11°C或以下 69%
21°C或更高 59%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
11°C或以下
69%
12°C
48%
13°C
48%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
24%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C或更高
59%
11°C或以下 69%
21°C或更高 59%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
11°C或以下
69%
12°C
48%
13°C
48%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
24%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C或更高
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including DWD and ECMWF indicate a frontal system bringing rain and westerly flow to Munich on September 5, with daytime highs near 23–24 °C but variable overnight clearing that could enhance radiational cooling. This setup creates uncertainty in the minimum temperature, as cloud cover and wind mixing may limit drops while clearer periods after precipitation favor values near or below the 11.6 °C climatological average low. Trader emphasis on the 11 °C-or-below outcome alongside elevated odds for warmer thresholds reflects model spread in boundary-layer processes and timing of any post-frontal high pressure, with resolution hinging on updated runs closer to the date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions