Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight low in Munich on September 4 driven by a stable high-pressure pattern, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. Expected minima cluster around 16–18 °C, several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.8 °C, reflecting a lingering warm air mass. With resolution hinging on the precise early-morning reading, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16 °C and 14 °C because ensemble spreads show only modest sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or wind speed. Updated runs from agencies such as the German Weather Service or ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of the market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9月4日慕尼黑最低溫度？
13°C 70%
17°C 68%
18°C 66%
12°C或以下 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
49%
13°C
70%
14°C
46%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
68%
18°C
66%
19°C
15%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C或更高
12%
13°C 70%
17°C 68%
18°C 66%
12°C或以下 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
49%
13°C
$0 交易量
70%
14°C
$0 交易量
46%
15°C
$0 交易量
46%
16°C
$0 交易量
46%
17°C
$0 交易量
68%
18°C
$0 交易量
66%
19°C
$0 交易量
15%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C或更高
$0 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight low in Munich on September 4 driven by a stable high-pressure pattern, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. Expected minima cluster around 16–18 °C, several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.8 °C, reflecting a lingering warm air mass. With resolution hinging on the precise early-morning reading, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16 °C and 14 °C because ensemble spreads show only modest sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or wind speed. Updated runs from agencies such as the German Weather Service or ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight low in Munich on September 4 driven by a stable high-pressure pattern, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. Expected minima cluster around 16–18 °C, several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.8 °C, reflecting a lingering warm air mass. With resolution hinging on the precise early-morning reading, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16 °C and 14 °C because ensemble spreads show only modest sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or wind speed. Updated runs from agencies such as the German Weather Service or ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight low in Munich on September 4 driven by a stable high-pressure pattern, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. Expected minima cluster around 16–18 °C, several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.8 °C, reflecting a lingering warm air mass. With resolution hinging on the precise early-morning reading, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16 °C and 14 °C because ensemble spreads show only modest sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or wind speed. Updated runs from agencies such as the German Weather Service or ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of the market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions