Recent forecasts from European models, including DWD and ECMWF guidance, indicate Munich will experience clear to partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds on September 4, supporting a daytime maximum near 29–30 °C. This represents a substantial positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.6 °C for the date and approaches the all-time record of 30.9 °C set in 1929. Low precipitation probability and strong insolation under high pressure favor the upper end of typical model spreads. Market-implied odds concentrate on 29–31 °C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on these model runs while acknowledging residual uncertainty from minor timing or boundary-layer variations that could shift the peak by 1 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
9月4日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
30°C 45%
29°C 25%
31°C 16%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
25%
30°C
45%
31°C
16%
32°C
3%
33°C或以上
1%
30°C 45%
29°C 25%
31°C 16%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
$162 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,288 交易量
<1%
25°C
$123 交易量
<1%
26°C
$7 交易量
<1%
27°C
$327 交易量
2%
28°C
$678 交易量
4%
29°C
$2,660 交易量
25%
30°C
$1,767 交易量
45%
31°C
$408 交易量
16%
32°C
$257 交易量
3%
33°C或以上
$72 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models, including DWD and ECMWF guidance, indicate Munich will experience clear to partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds on September 4, supporting a daytime maximum near 29–30 °C. This represents a substantial positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.6 °C for the date and approaches the all-time record of 30.9 °C set in 1929. Low precipitation probability and strong insolation under high pressure favor the upper end of typical model spreads. Market-implied odds concentrate on 29–31 °C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on these model runs while acknowledging residual uncertainty from minor timing or boundary-layer variations that could shift the peak by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$7,750結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models, including DWD and ECMWF guidance, indicate Munich will experience clear to partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds on September 4, supporting a daytime maximum near 29–30 °C. This represents a substantial positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.6 °C for the date and approaches the all-time record of 30.9 °C set in 1929. Low precipitation probability and strong insolation under high pressure favor the upper end of typical model spreads. Market-implied odds concentrate on 29–31 °C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on these model runs while acknowledging residual uncertainty from minor timing or boundary-layer variations that could shift the peak by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,750結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from European models, including DWD and ECMWF guidance, indicate Munich will experience clear to partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds on September 4, supporting a daytime maximum near 29–30 °C. This represents a substantial positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.6 °C for the date and approaches the all-time record of 30.9 °C set in 1929. Low precipitation probability and strong insolation under high pressure favor the upper end of typical model spreads. Market-implied odds concentrate on 29–31 °C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on these model runs while acknowledging residual uncertainty from minor timing or boundary-layer variations that could shift the peak by 1 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions