Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate Chicago's September 5 high will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s after several days of 90-plus readings, driven by a shift to northeast winds that draw cooler, more stable air off Lake Michigan. This onshore flow, combined with partly cloudy skies and only a slight morning shower risk, limits afternoon heating compared to recent southwesterly patterns. Lake-effect moderation often caps lakefront readings several degrees below inland suburbs, creating tight differentiation among 80-85°F bins. Trader consensus aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited warm bias, though any delay in wind shift or reduced cloud cover could push readings higher before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日芝加哥的最高溫度?
82-83華氏度 31%
84-85°F 22%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 11%
華氏73度或以下
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
20%
82-83華氏度
31%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
4%
華氏92度或以上
3%
82-83華氏度 31%
84-85°F 22%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 11%
華氏73度或以下
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
20%
82-83華氏度
31%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
4%
華氏92度或以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate Chicago's September 5 high will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s after several days of 90-plus readings, driven by a shift to northeast winds that draw cooler, more stable air off Lake Michigan. This onshore flow, combined with partly cloudy skies and only a slight morning shower risk, limits afternoon heating compared to recent southwesterly patterns. Lake-effect moderation often caps lakefront readings several degrees below inland suburbs, creating tight differentiation among 80-85°F bins. Trader consensus aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited warm bias, though any delay in wind shift or reduced cloud cover could push readings higher before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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