Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to clear skies and moderate northeast winds of 3-4 levels over Qingdao on September 5, supporting daily highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius under a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern typical for early September in coastal Shandong. Sea-breeze effects and humidity near 50-60% moderate peak readings, while solar insolation under minimal cloud cover favors values near 29°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30-31°C reflects minor model spread and local station variability at the official observatory, with traders weighting recent warm anomalies and ensemble tails. Official China Meteorological Administration observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the verified maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日青島氣溫最高？
9月5日青島氣溫最高？
31°C 44%
30°C 35%
32°C 13%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
35%
31°C
44%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 35%
32°C 13%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$84 交易量
1%
27°C
$150 交易量
2%
28°C
$311 交易量
3%
29°C
$50 交易量
8%
30°C
$95 交易量
35%
31°C
$1,358 交易量
44%
32°C
$98 交易量
13%
33°C
$28 交易量
4%
34°C
$61 交易量
1%
35°C或以上
$812 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to clear skies and moderate northeast winds of 3-4 levels over Qingdao on September 5, supporting daily highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius under a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern typical for early September in coastal Shandong. Sea-breeze effects and humidity near 50-60% moderate peak readings, while solar insolation under minimal cloud cover favors values near 29°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30-31°C reflects minor model spread and local station variability at the official observatory, with traders weighting recent warm anomalies and ensemble tails. Official China Meteorological Administration observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the verified maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,047結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to clear skies and moderate northeast winds of 3-4 levels over Qingdao on September 5, supporting daily highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius under a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern typical for early September in coastal Shandong. Sea-breeze effects and humidity near 50-60% moderate peak readings, while solar insolation under minimal cloud cover favors values near 29°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30-31°C reflects minor model spread and local station variability at the official observatory, with traders weighting recent warm anomalies and ensemble tails. Official China Meteorological Administration observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the verified maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,047結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to clear skies and moderate northeast winds of 3-4 levels over Qingdao on September 5, supporting daily highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius under a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern typical for early September in coastal Shandong. Sea-breeze effects and humidity near 50-60% moderate peak readings, while solar insolation under minimal cloud cover favors values near 29°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30-31°C reflects minor model spread and local station variability at the official observatory, with traders weighting recent warm anomalies and ensemble tails. Official China Meteorological Administration observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the verified maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions