**Forecast consensus from NOAA and private models points to a mid-70s overnight low for Austin on September 5, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** This setup suppresses the typical 5–8°F drop below the 70.8°F climatological average, with steering patterns and light southeast winds (around 5 mph) preventing stronger cooling. Minor variations in afternoon thunderstorm timing or cloud thickness could shift the minimum by 1–2°F across the 74–78°F range, explaining why market-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered near 25% with no single bucket dominating. Updated NWS and model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月5日奧斯汀最低溫度？
67°F或以下 97%
86°F或更高 95%
68-69華氏度 49%
70-71°F 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
67°F或以下
97%
68-69華氏度
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
49%
86°F或更高
95%
67°F或以下 97%
86°F或更高 95%
68-69華氏度 49%
70-71°F 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
67°F或以下
$0 交易量
97%
68-69華氏度
$0 交易量
49%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
49%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
31%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
32%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
26%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
49%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
49%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
49%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
49%
86°F或更高
$0 交易量
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from NOAA and private models points to a mid-70s overnight low for Austin on September 5, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.**
This setup suppresses the typical 5–8°F drop below the 70.8°F climatological average, with steering patterns and light southeast winds (around 5 mph) preventing stronger cooling. Minor variations in afternoon thunderstorm timing or cloud thickness could shift the minimum by 1–2°F across the 74–78°F range, explaining why market-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered near 25% with no single bucket dominating. Updated NWS and model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from NOAA and private models points to a mid-70s overnight low for Austin on September 5, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.**
This setup suppresses the typical 5–8°F drop below the 70.8°F climatological average, with steering patterns and light southeast winds (around 5 mph) preventing stronger cooling. Minor variations in afternoon thunderstorm timing or cloud thickness could shift the minimum by 1–2°F across the 74–78°F range, explaining why market-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered near 25% with no single bucket dominating. Updated NWS and model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Forecast consensus from NOAA and private models points to a mid-70s overnight low for Austin on September 5, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** This setup suppresses the typical 5–8°F drop below the 70.8°F climatological average, with steering patterns and light southeast winds (around 5 mph) preventing stronger cooling. Minor variations in afternoon thunderstorm timing or cloud thickness could shift the minimum by 1–2°F across the 74–78°F range, explaining why market-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered near 25% with no single bucket dominating. Updated NWS and model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions