Persistent cloud cover and moderate rainfall tied to lingering monsoon influences and tropical moisture are moderating daytime heating in Shenzhen, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28–30°C for the September 3 maximum. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows highs near 30°C amid overcast skies and showers, with forecast models diverging on exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet current conditions favor slightly cooler outcomes. Traders weigh these variables ahead of updated model runs and official daily reports that will refine resolution probabilities before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日深圳最高溫度？
9月3日深圳最高溫度？
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
29°C 19%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
10%
28°C
21%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
13%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
29°C 19%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
23°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
24°C
$122 交易量
2%
25°C
$123 交易量
2%
26°C
$60 交易量
9%
27°C
$11 交易量
10%
28°C
$0 交易量
21%
29°C
$35 交易量
19%
30°C
$20 交易量
20%
31°C
$72 交易量
13%
32°C
$20 交易量
10%
33°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and moderate rainfall tied to lingering monsoon influences and tropical moisture are moderating daytime heating in Shenzhen, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28–30°C for the September 3 maximum. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows highs near 30°C amid overcast skies and showers, with forecast models diverging on exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet current conditions favor slightly cooler outcomes. Traders weigh these variables ahead of updated model runs and official daily reports that will refine resolution probabilities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$474結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and moderate rainfall tied to lingering monsoon influences and tropical moisture are moderating daytime heating in Shenzhen, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28–30°C for the September 3 maximum. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows highs near 30°C amid overcast skies and showers, with forecast models diverging on exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet current conditions favor slightly cooler outcomes. Traders weigh these variables ahead of updated model runs and official daily reports that will refine resolution probabilities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$474結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETPersistent cloud cover and moderate rainfall tied to lingering monsoon influences and tropical moisture are moderating daytime heating in Shenzhen, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28–30°C for the September 3 maximum. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows highs near 30°C amid overcast skies and showers, with forecast models diverging on exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet current conditions favor slightly cooler outcomes. Traders weigh these variables ahead of updated model runs and official daily reports that will refine resolution probabilities before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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