Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a September 3 overnight low in Shenzhen near 23–25 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northwest winds, and modest moisture that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Slight differences among leading outcomes arise from variations in predicted cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. With trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these values, new model runs or updated observations from Shenzhen stations will likely determine whether the realized minimum settles at the lower or higher end of the narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日深圳最低溫度？
9月3日深圳最低溫度？
21°C 50%
28°C 50%
24°C 32%
23°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
20°C or below
6%
21°C
50%
22°C
23%
23°C
27%
24°C
32%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
50%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
24%
21°C 50%
28°C 50%
24°C 32%
23°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
20°C or below
$5 交易量
6%
21°C
$5 交易量
50%
22°C
$54 交易量
23%
23°C
$0 交易量
27%
24°C
$0 交易量
32%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
26%
28°C
$5 交易量
50%
29°C
$5 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$5 交易量
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a September 3 overnight low in Shenzhen near 23–25 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northwest winds, and modest moisture that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Slight differences among leading outcomes arise from variations in predicted cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. With trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these values, new model runs or updated observations from Shenzhen stations will likely determine whether the realized minimum settles at the lower or higher end of the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$79結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a September 3 overnight low in Shenzhen near 23–25 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northwest winds, and modest moisture that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Slight differences among leading outcomes arise from variations in predicted cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. With trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these values, new model runs or updated observations from Shenzhen stations will likely determine whether the realized minimum settles at the lower or higher end of the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$79結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a September 3 overnight low in Shenzhen near 23–25 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northwest winds, and modest moisture that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Slight differences among leading outcomes arise from variations in predicted cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. With trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these values, new model runs or updated observations from Shenzhen stations will likely determine whether the realized minimum settles at the lower or higher end of the narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions