Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4 centers on 24°C or 25°C, reflecting model agreement around the seasonal average low of 24–26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent northwest winds, high humidity near 80%, and overnight cloud cover from recent thunderstorms are limiting radiative cooling, keeping nighttime minima elevated compared to drier periods. Light rain chances on the 4th could further moderate the low by a degree or two depending on timing and intensity. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with small forecast spreads between 23–26°C explaining the narrow implied probabilities across adjacent outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日深圳最低溫度？
9月4日深圳最低溫度？
30°C或以上 86%
27°C 77%
20°C或以下 74%
26°C 71%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
20°C或以下
74%
21°C
67%
22°C
70%
23°C
67%
24°C
51%
25°C
50%
26°C
71%
27°C
77%
28°C
67%
29°C
14%
30°C或以上
86%
30°C或以上 86%
27°C 77%
20°C或以下 74%
26°C 71%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
74%
21°C
$0 交易量
67%
22°C
$0 交易量
70%
23°C
$0 交易量
67%
24°C
$0 交易量
51%
25°C
$0 交易量
50%
26°C
$0 交易量
71%
27°C
$0 交易量
77%
28°C
$0 交易量
67%
29°C
$0 交易量
14%
30°C或以上
$0 交易量
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4 centers on 24°C or 25°C, reflecting model agreement around the seasonal average low of 24–26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent northwest winds, high humidity near 80%, and overnight cloud cover from recent thunderstorms are limiting radiative cooling, keeping nighttime minima elevated compared to drier periods. Light rain chances on the 4th could further moderate the low by a degree or two depending on timing and intensity. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with small forecast spreads between 23–26°C explaining the narrow implied probabilities across adjacent outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4 centers on 24°C or 25°C, reflecting model agreement around the seasonal average low of 24–26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent northwest winds, high humidity near 80%, and overnight cloud cover from recent thunderstorms are limiting radiative cooling, keeping nighttime minima elevated compared to drier periods. Light rain chances on the 4th could further moderate the low by a degree or two depending on timing and intensity. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with small forecast spreads between 23–26°C explaining the narrow implied probabilities across adjacent outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus on the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4 centers on 24°C or 25°C, reflecting model agreement around the seasonal average low of 24–26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent northwest winds, high humidity near 80%, and overnight cloud cover from recent thunderstorms are limiting radiative cooling, keeping nighttime minima elevated compared to drier periods. Light rain chances on the 4th could further moderate the low by a degree or two depending on timing and intensity. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with small forecast spreads between 23–26°C explaining the narrow implied probabilities across adjacent outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions