Official forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service Singapore highlight fair, occasionally windy conditions on September 3 under the prevailing dry southwest monsoon pattern, supporting daytime maxima of 33–35°C with minimal cloud cover and southerly winds around 15–30 km/h limiting convective cooling. Historical September averages near 31.6°C and recent early-month observations exceeding 34°C on multiple days reinforce elevated heat potential, though model runs show some spread due to localized shower risks and measurement at stations like Changi. Trader consensus favoring 33°C reflects typical realized maxima falling short of peak forecasts in this stable tropical regime, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ align with the narrow historical range and uncertainty in exact insolation and humidity. Updated NEA guidance and afternoon observations will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡9月3日的最高溫度?
33°C 63%
34°C 24%
32°C 11%
31°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
11%
33°C
63%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 63%
34°C 24%
32°C 11%
31°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
11%
33°C
63%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service Singapore highlight fair, occasionally windy conditions on September 3 under the prevailing dry southwest monsoon pattern, supporting daytime maxima of 33–35°C with minimal cloud cover and southerly winds around 15–30 km/h limiting convective cooling. Historical September averages near 31.6°C and recent early-month observations exceeding 34°C on multiple days reinforce elevated heat potential, though model runs show some spread due to localized shower risks and measurement at stations like Changi. Trader consensus favoring 33°C reflects typical realized maxima falling short of peak forecasts in this stable tropical regime, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ align with the narrow historical range and uncertainty in exact insolation and humidity. Updated NEA guidance and afternoon observations will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions