Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s for Miami on September 3, driven by a persistent warm, humid tropical air mass, light southeast winds, and typical early-September sea-breeze patterns that limit radiational cooling. Historical averages near 77°F provide context, yet recent observations and model consensus show slightly elevated minima due to high dew points and cloud cover from scattered showers. These conditions align with trader sentiment favoring the 78-79°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 80-81°F, as any modest strengthening of onshore flow or thunderstorm activity could nudge the daily minimum modestly higher while cooler scenarios remain less likely absent a rare frontal intrusion.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日邁阿密的最低溫度？
9月3日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 20%
82-83華氏度 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
華氏73度或以下
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
40%
82-83華氏度
8%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
華氏92度或更高
<1%
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 20%
82-83華氏度 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
華氏73度或以下
$226 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$148 交易量
6%
76-77°F
$519 交易量
20%
78-79°F
$415 交易量
28%
80-81°F
$350 交易量
40%
82-83華氏度
$65 交易量
8%
84-85°F
$26 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$34 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$25 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$25 交易量
<1%
華氏92度或更高
$210 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s for Miami on September 3, driven by a persistent warm, humid tropical air mass, light southeast winds, and typical early-September sea-breeze patterns that limit radiational cooling. Historical averages near 77°F provide context, yet recent observations and model consensus show slightly elevated minima due to high dew points and cloud cover from scattered showers. These conditions align with trader sentiment favoring the 78-79°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 80-81°F, as any modest strengthening of onshore flow or thunderstorm activity could nudge the daily minimum modestly higher while cooler scenarios remain less likely absent a rare frontal intrusion.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,042結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s for Miami on September 3, driven by a persistent warm, humid tropical air mass, light southeast winds, and typical early-September sea-breeze patterns that limit radiational cooling. Historical averages near 77°F provide context, yet recent observations and model consensus show slightly elevated minima due to high dew points and cloud cover from scattered showers. These conditions align with trader sentiment favoring the 78-79°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 80-81°F, as any modest strengthening of onshore flow or thunderstorm activity could nudge the daily minimum modestly higher while cooler scenarios remain less likely absent a rare frontal intrusion.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,042結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETCurrent forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s for Miami on September 3, driven by a persistent warm, humid tropical air mass, light southeast winds, and typical early-September sea-breeze patterns that limit radiational cooling. Historical averages near 77°F provide context, yet recent observations and model consensus show slightly elevated minima due to high dew points and cloud cover from scattered showers. These conditions align with trader sentiment favoring the 78-79°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 80-81°F, as any modest strengthening of onshore flow or thunderstorm activity could nudge the daily minimum modestly higher while cooler scenarios remain less likely absent a rare frontal intrusion.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions