**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate overnight lows in Miami on September 4 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 80-81°F (35%) and 82-83°F (25%).** Persistent southeast winds, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorm activity are limiting radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover from the active pattern traps heat near the surface, preventing temperatures from dropping to the historical September average low of around 77°F. Recent model consensus shows similar conditions continuing through Friday, with highs near 88–90°F and 60–70% rain chances driven by tropical moisture. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered around 80°F rather than cooler readings, though any unexpected clearing overnight could allow slightly lower values near 78–79°F. Upcoming NWS updates and model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日邁阿密的最低溫度?
82-83°F 50%
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 23%
76-77°F 17%
華氏73度或以下
7%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
17%
86-87華氏度
15%
88-89°F
2%
華氏90-91度
2%
92°F或以上
2%
82-83°F 50%
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 23%
76-77°F 17%
華氏73度或以下
7%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
17%
86-87華氏度
15%
88-89°F
2%
華氏90-91度
2%
92°F或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate overnight lows in Miami on September 4 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 80-81°F (35%) and 82-83°F (25%).** Persistent southeast winds, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorm activity are limiting radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover from the active pattern traps heat near the surface, preventing temperatures from dropping to the historical September average low of around 77°F. Recent model consensus shows similar conditions continuing through Friday, with highs near 88–90°F and 60–70% rain chances driven by tropical moisture. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered around 80°F rather than cooler readings, though any unexpected clearing overnight could allow slightly lower values near 78–79°F. Upcoming NWS updates and model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions