Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorms moderating peak heating in Shenzhen on September 2, with northwest winds and high humidity limiting solar insolation. This supports trader consensus around 29–30°C implied probabilities near 55%, as persistent cloud cover and possible afternoon showers align with climatological patterns for early September in the subtropical monsoon region. Afternoon clearing could allow brief warming toward 31°C if instability decreases, though model spread highlights sensitivity to exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these variables before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日深圳最高溫度？
9月2日深圳最高溫度？
29°C 28%
30°C 28%
31°C 16%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C
28%
30°C
28%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 28%
30°C 28%
31°C 16%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
24°C or below
$351 交易量
<1%
25°C
$356 交易量
<1%
26°C
$457 交易量
1%
27°C
$292 交易量
7%
28°C
$92 交易量
10%
29°C
$272 交易量
28%
30°C
$336 交易量
28%
31°C
$226 交易量
16%
32°C
$161 交易量
6%
33°C
$489 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$200 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorms moderating peak heating in Shenzhen on September 2, with northwest winds and high humidity limiting solar insolation. This supports trader consensus around 29–30°C implied probabilities near 55%, as persistent cloud cover and possible afternoon showers align with climatological patterns for early September in the subtropical monsoon region. Afternoon clearing could allow brief warming toward 31°C if instability decreases, though model spread highlights sensitivity to exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,231結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorms moderating peak heating in Shenzhen on September 2, with northwest winds and high humidity limiting solar insolation. This supports trader consensus around 29–30°C implied probabilities near 55%, as persistent cloud cover and possible afternoon showers align with climatological patterns for early September in the subtropical monsoon region. Afternoon clearing could allow brief warming toward 31°C if instability decreases, though model spread highlights sensitivity to exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,231結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorms moderating peak heating in Shenzhen on September 2, with northwest winds and high humidity limiting solar insolation. This supports trader consensus around 29–30°C implied probabilities near 55%, as persistent cloud cover and possible afternoon showers align with climatological patterns for early September in the subtropical monsoon region. Afternoon clearing could allow brief warming toward 31°C if instability decreases, though model spread highlights sensitivity to exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these variables before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions