Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 1 will likely hover near 25–26°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from the remnants of tropical cyclone Shadell. North-to-northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, combined with 60–90% humidity and scattered showers, limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Historical early-September minima average 24–26°C, and current ensemble guidance shows limited spread below 24°C or above 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from local stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日深圳最低溫度？
9月1日深圳最低溫度？
24°C 75%
26°C 53%
29°C 49%
22°C or below 44%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
22°C or below
44%
23°C
38%
24°C
75%
25°C
43%
26°C
53%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
24°C 75%
26°C 53%
29°C 49%
22°C or below 44%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
22°C or below
$0 交易量
44%
23°C
$0 交易量
38%
24°C
$0 交易量
75%
25°C
$0 交易量
43%
26°C
$0 交易量
53%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C
$0 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 1 will likely hover near 25–26°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from the remnants of tropical cyclone Shadell. North-to-northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, combined with 60–90% humidity and scattered showers, limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Historical early-September minima average 24–26°C, and current ensemble guidance shows limited spread below 24°C or above 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 1 will likely hover near 25–26°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from the remnants of tropical cyclone Shadell. North-to-northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, combined with 60–90% humidity and scattered showers, limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Historical early-September minima average 24–26°C, and current ensemble guidance shows limited spread below 24°C or above 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 1 will likely hover near 25–26°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from the remnants of tropical cyclone Shadell. North-to-northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, combined with 60–90% humidity and scattered showers, limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Historical early-September minima average 24–26°C, and current ensemble guidance shows limited spread below 24°C or above 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from local stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions