Official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shenzhen's overnight low on August 31 near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and moderate to heavy rainfall associated with a lingering weather system. These conditions suppress radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability and supporting the 25°C option near 38.5%. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns and limited temperature variance, though minor forecast revisions ahead of resolution could shift sentiment if clearer skies emerge overnight. Historical August minima in Shenzhen average around 25°C under similar moist regimes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日深圳最低溫度？
8月31日深圳最低溫度？
22°C or below 67%
32°C or higher 67%
26°C 54%
28°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
67%
23°C
35%
24°C
36%
25°C
38%
26°C
54%
27°C
36%
28°C
47%
29°C
25%
30°C
45%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
67%
22°C or below 67%
32°C or higher 67%
26°C 54%
28°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
$140 交易量
67%
23°C
$0 交易量
35%
24°C
$0 交易量
36%
25°C
$0 交易量
38%
26°C
$0 交易量
54%
27°C
$0 交易量
36%
28°C
$0 交易量
47%
29°C
$0 交易量
25%
30°C
$75 交易量
45%
31°C
$57 交易量
20%
32°C or higher
$130 交易量
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shenzhen's overnight low on August 31 near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and moderate to heavy rainfall associated with a lingering weather system. These conditions suppress radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability and supporting the 25°C option near 38.5%. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns and limited temperature variance, though minor forecast revisions ahead of resolution could shift sentiment if clearer skies emerge overnight. Historical August minima in Shenzhen average around 25°C under similar moist regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$402結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shenzhen's overnight low on August 31 near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and moderate to heavy rainfall associated with a lingering weather system. These conditions suppress radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability and supporting the 25°C option near 38.5%. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns and limited temperature variance, though minor forecast revisions ahead of resolution could shift sentiment if clearer skies emerge overnight. Historical August minima in Shenzhen average around 25°C under similar moist regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$402結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETOfficial forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shenzhen's overnight low on August 31 near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and moderate to heavy rainfall associated with a lingering weather system. These conditions suppress radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability and supporting the 25°C option near 38.5%. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns and limited temperature variance, though minor forecast revisions ahead of resolution could shift sentiment if clearer skies emerge overnight. Historical August minima in Shenzhen average around 25°C under similar moist regimes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions