Persistent rain and thunderstorms forecast for August 31 are moderating maximum temperatures in Shenzhen, aligning trader consensus around 30–32°C with 31°C holding the highest implied probability at 37.5%. Recent model runs show northeasterly flow and extensive cloud cover limiting daytime heating, consistent with observed highs near 29–30°C amid similar conditions on August 30. Subtropical monsoon influences and high humidity further suppress peaks compared to clearer late-August days that reached 33°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide key updates over the next 48 hours that could shift probabilities if drier air arrives or convection weakens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日深圳最高溫度？
8月31日深圳最高溫度？
31°C 37%
30°C 22%
32°C 16%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
14%
30°C
22%
31°C
37%
32°C
16%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
30°C 22%
32°C 16%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
24°C or below
$207 交易量
<1%
25°C
$165 交易量
<1%
26°C
$165 交易量
<1%
27°C
$15 交易量
1%
28°C
$239 交易量
9%
29°C
$79 交易量
14%
30°C
$351 交易量
22%
31°C
$639 交易量
37%
32°C
$60 交易量
16%
33°C
$280 交易量
7%
34°C or higher
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and thunderstorms forecast for August 31 are moderating maximum temperatures in Shenzhen, aligning trader consensus around 30–32°C with 31°C holding the highest implied probability at 37.5%. Recent model runs show northeasterly flow and extensive cloud cover limiting daytime heating, consistent with observed highs near 29–30°C amid similar conditions on August 30. Subtropical monsoon influences and high humidity further suppress peaks compared to clearer late-August days that reached 33°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide key updates over the next 48 hours that could shift probabilities if drier air arrives or convection weakens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,215結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and thunderstorms forecast for August 31 are moderating maximum temperatures in Shenzhen, aligning trader consensus around 30–32°C with 31°C holding the highest implied probability at 37.5%. Recent model runs show northeasterly flow and extensive cloud cover limiting daytime heating, consistent with observed highs near 29–30°C amid similar conditions on August 30. Subtropical monsoon influences and high humidity further suppress peaks compared to clearer late-August days that reached 33°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide key updates over the next 48 hours that could shift probabilities if drier air arrives or convection weakens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,215結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETPersistent rain and thunderstorms forecast for August 31 are moderating maximum temperatures in Shenzhen, aligning trader consensus around 30–32°C with 31°C holding the highest implied probability at 37.5%. Recent model runs show northeasterly flow and extensive cloud cover limiting daytime heating, consistent with observed highs near 29–30°C amid similar conditions on August 30. Subtropical monsoon influences and high humidity further suppress peaks compared to clearer late-August days that reached 33°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide key updates over the next 48 hours that could shift probabilities if drier air arrives or convection weakens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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