Recent official forecasts from Polish meteorological services and global models like GFS converge on a daily maximum near 21–22 °C for Warsaw on 29 August, driven by extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and embedded thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Moderate southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front further caps warming, consistent with observed afternoon readings hovering around 18–22 °C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 22 °C (62 %) over 23 °C (31.5 %) because ensemble guidance shows only limited upside potential if breaks in cloud allow brief additional heating before evening stabilization. Higher outcomes remain improbable given the established precipitation regime and absence of subsidence or clear-sky conditions that would support 24 °C or above. Final resolution hinges on the peak value recorded before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日華沙的最高溫度？
8月29日華沙的最高溫度？
22°C 61%
23°C 41%
24°C 5%
25°C or higher <1%
$31,543 交易量
$31,543 交易量
2026-08-29
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
61%
23°C
32%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 61%
23°C 41%
24°C 5%
25°C or higher <1%
$31,543 交易量
$31,543 交易量
2026-08-29
15°C or below
$244 交易量
<1%
16°C
$258 交易量
<1%
17°C
$703 交易量
<1%
18°C
$4,668 交易量
<1%
19°C
$5,696 交易量
<1%
20°C
$4,920 交易量
<1%
21°C
$5,420 交易量
<1%
22°C
$3,740 交易量
61%
23°C
$3,584 交易量
32%
24°C
$1,163 交易量
5%
25°C or higher
$1,147 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Polish meteorological services and global models like GFS converge on a daily maximum near 21–22 °C for Warsaw on 29 August, driven by extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and embedded thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Moderate southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front further caps warming, consistent with observed afternoon readings hovering around 18–22 °C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 22 °C (62 %) over 23 °C (31.5 %) because ensemble guidance shows only limited upside potential if breaks in cloud allow brief additional heating before evening stabilization. Higher outcomes remain improbable given the established precipitation regime and absence of subsidence or clear-sky conditions that would support 24 °C or above. Final resolution hinges on the peak value recorded before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$31,543結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Polish meteorological services and global models like GFS converge on a daily maximum near 21–22 °C for Warsaw on 29 August, driven by extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and embedded thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Moderate southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front further caps warming, consistent with observed afternoon readings hovering around 18–22 °C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 22 °C (62 %) over 23 °C (31.5 %) because ensemble guidance shows only limited upside potential if breaks in cloud allow brief additional heating before evening stabilization. Higher outcomes remain improbable given the established precipitation regime and absence of subsidence or clear-sky conditions that would support 24 °C or above. Final resolution hinges on the peak value recorded before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,543結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Polish meteorological services and global models like GFS converge on a daily maximum near 21–22 °C for Warsaw on 29 August, driven by extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and embedded thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Moderate southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front further caps warming, consistent with observed afternoon readings hovering around 18–22 °C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 22 °C (62 %) over 23 °C (31.5 %) because ensemble guidance shows only limited upside potential if breaks in cloud allow brief additional heating before evening stabilization. Higher outcomes remain improbable given the established precipitation regime and absence of subsidence or clear-sky conditions that would support 24 °C or above. Final resolution hinges on the peak value recorded before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions