Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies indicate a maximum near 26°C in Warsaw on August 31 under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Variable cloud cover will modulate surface solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while modest advection of warmer air from the south supports values in the mid-20s Celsius. Timing of any convective activity remains the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap the daily peak near 25°C, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher. Market odds reflect this narrow spread in ensemble guidance two days before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日華沙的最高溫度？
8月31日華沙的最高溫度？
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
27°C or higher 28%
24°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C or higher
28%
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
27°C or higher 28%
24°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
17°C or below
$196 交易量
<1%
18°C
$196 交易量
<1%
19°C
$296 交易量
<1%
20°C
$296 交易量
<1%
21°C
$80 交易量
<1%
22°C
$49 交易量
2%
23°C
$136 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
11%
25°C
$172 交易量
28%
26°C
$30 交易量
34%
27°C or higher
$697 交易量
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies indicate a maximum near 26°C in Warsaw on August 31 under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Variable cloud cover will modulate surface solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while modest advection of warmer air from the south supports values in the mid-20s Celsius. Timing of any convective activity remains the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap the daily peak near 25°C, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher. Market odds reflect this narrow spread in ensemble guidance two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,148結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies indicate a maximum near 26°C in Warsaw on August 31 under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Variable cloud cover will modulate surface solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while modest advection of warmer air from the south supports values in the mid-20s Celsius. Timing of any convective activity remains the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap the daily peak near 25°C, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher. Market odds reflect this narrow spread in ensemble guidance two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,148結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies indicate a maximum near 26°C in Warsaw on August 31 under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Variable cloud cover will modulate surface solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while modest advection of warmer air from the south supports values in the mid-20s Celsius. Timing of any convective activity remains the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap the daily peak near 25°C, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher. Market odds reflect this narrow spread in ensemble guidance two days before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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