Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS and regional Russian sources, converge on a daytime high of 22–24°C for Moscow on August 31 under variable cloud cover with light southerly or southwesterly flow and low precipitation chances. This positions 23°C as the modal outcome, consistent with late-August climatology near 21–23°C and the absence of strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Model runs show minimal spread, with cloudiness and possible brief showers capping peaks below outlier values above 25°C. Official Hydrometcenter and NWS-equivalent guidance released in the past 48 hours reinforces this range, limiting shifts in trader-implied probabilities ahead of final observational resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日莫斯科的最高溫度？
8月31日莫斯科的最高溫度？
23°C 38%
22°C 28%
24°C 17%
21°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
12%
22°C
28%
23°C
38%
24°C
17%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 38%
22°C 28%
24°C 17%
21°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
17°C or below
$127 交易量
<1%
18°C
$63 交易量
<1%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
6%
21°C
$50 交易量
12%
22°C
$2 交易量
28%
23°C
$43 交易量
38%
24°C
$21 交易量
17%
25°C
$221 交易量
8%
26°C
$33 交易量
3%
27°C or higher
$80 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS and regional Russian sources, converge on a daytime high of 22–24°C for Moscow on August 31 under variable cloud cover with light southerly or southwesterly flow and low precipitation chances. This positions 23°C as the modal outcome, consistent with late-August climatology near 21–23°C and the absence of strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Model runs show minimal spread, with cloudiness and possible brief showers capping peaks below outlier values above 25°C. Official Hydrometcenter and NWS-equivalent guidance released in the past 48 hours reinforces this range, limiting shifts in trader-implied probabilities ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$640結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS and regional Russian sources, converge on a daytime high of 22–24°C for Moscow on August 31 under variable cloud cover with light southerly or southwesterly flow and low precipitation chances. This positions 23°C as the modal outcome, consistent with late-August climatology near 21–23°C and the absence of strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Model runs show minimal spread, with cloudiness and possible brief showers capping peaks below outlier values above 25°C. Official Hydrometcenter and NWS-equivalent guidance released in the past 48 hours reinforces this range, limiting shifts in trader-implied probabilities ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$640結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS and regional Russian sources, converge on a daytime high of 22–24°C for Moscow on August 31 under variable cloud cover with light southerly or southwesterly flow and low precipitation chances. This positions 23°C as the modal outcome, consistent with late-August climatology near 21–23°C and the absence of strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Model runs show minimal spread, with cloudiness and possible brief showers capping peaks below outlier values above 25°C. Official Hydrometcenter and NWS-equivalent guidance released in the past 48 hours reinforces this range, limiting shifts in trader-implied probabilities ahead of final observational resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions