Recent forecasts from Roshydromet and GFS-based models indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high of 20–22°C on August 30 under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that limit surface heating. These conditions position 21°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability, with 22°C and 20°C capturing most remaining trader sentiment. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertain cloud timing and precipitation amounts, while climatological norms for late August support highs near 21–23°C. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and uncertainty low ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日莫斯科最高溫度？
8月30日莫斯科最高溫度？
21°C 45%
22°C 26%
20°C 19%
23°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
19%
21°C
45%
22°C
26%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 45%
22°C 26%
20°C 19%
23°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
16°C or below
$328 交易量
<1%
17°C
$256 交易量
1%
18°C
$314 交易量
2%
19°C
$508 交易量
3%
20°C
$924 交易量
19%
21°C
$134 交易量
45%
22°C
$160 交易量
26%
23°C
$193 交易量
5%
24°C
$182 交易量
1%
25°C
$128 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$215 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Roshydromet and GFS-based models indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high of 20–22°C on August 30 under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that limit surface heating. These conditions position 21°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability, with 22°C and 20°C capturing most remaining trader sentiment. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertain cloud timing and precipitation amounts, while climatological norms for late August support highs near 21–23°C. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and uncertainty low ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,342結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Roshydromet and GFS-based models indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high of 20–22°C on August 30 under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that limit surface heating. These conditions position 21°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability, with 22°C and 20°C capturing most remaining trader sentiment. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertain cloud timing and precipitation amounts, while climatological norms for late August support highs near 21–23°C. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and uncertainty low ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,342結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from Roshydromet and GFS-based models indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high of 20–22°C on August 30 under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that limit surface heating. These conditions position 21°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability, with 22°C and 20°C capturing most remaining trader sentiment. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertain cloud timing and precipitation amounts, while climatological norms for late August support highs near 21–23°C. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and uncertainty low ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions