Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate nighttime lows on August 30 around 13–16°C under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and possible light rain, consistent with late-summer patterns where average minima reach about 11°C. Model consensus from sources like Yandex Weather and international ensembles shows limited radiational cooling due to moisture and advection, keeping temperatures above historical extremes (record low 3.1°C). The near-even market odds (44% for 5°C or below versus 15°C or higher) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty near event resolution, with small shifts in wind direction, cloud thickness, or precipitation timing able to alter the overnight minimum by several degrees. Traders weigh official guidance against potential model divergence as the date approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日莫斯科最低溫度？
8月30日莫斯科最低溫度？
15°C or higher 88%
5°C or below 87%
6°C 50%
14°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
5°C or below
87%
6°C
50%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
50%
15°C or higher
88%
15°C or higher 88%
5°C or below 87%
6°C 50%
14°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
5°C or below
$15 交易量
87%
6°C
$15 交易量
50%
7°C
$0 交易量
26%
8°C
$0 交易量
26%
9°C
$0 交易量
26%
10°C
$0 交易量
27%
11°C
$0 交易量
27%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$0 交易量
26%
14°C
$10 交易量
50%
15°C or higher
$145 交易量
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate nighttime lows on August 30 around 13–16°C under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and possible light rain, consistent with late-summer patterns where average minima reach about 11°C. Model consensus from sources like Yandex Weather and international ensembles shows limited radiational cooling due to moisture and advection, keeping temperatures above historical extremes (record low 3.1°C). The near-even market odds (44% for 5°C or below versus 15°C or higher) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty near event resolution, with small shifts in wind direction, cloud thickness, or precipitation timing able to alter the overnight minimum by several degrees. Traders weigh official guidance against potential model divergence as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$185結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate nighttime lows on August 30 around 13–16°C under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and possible light rain, consistent with late-summer patterns where average minima reach about 11°C. Model consensus from sources like Yandex Weather and international ensembles shows limited radiational cooling due to moisture and advection, keeping temperatures above historical extremes (record low 3.1°C). The near-even market odds (44% for 5°C or below versus 15°C or higher) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty near event resolution, with small shifts in wind direction, cloud thickness, or precipitation timing able to alter the overnight minimum by several degrees. Traders weigh official guidance against potential model divergence as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$185結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts for Moscow indicate nighttime lows on August 30 around 13–16°C under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and possible light rain, consistent with late-summer patterns where average minima reach about 11°C. Model consensus from sources like Yandex Weather and international ensembles shows limited radiational cooling due to moisture and advection, keeping temperatures above historical extremes (record low 3.1°C). The near-even market odds (44% for 5°C or below versus 15°C or higher) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty near event resolution, with small shifts in wind direction, cloud thickness, or precipitation timing able to alter the overnight minimum by several degrees. Traders weigh official guidance against potential model divergence as the date approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions