**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance for Houston on August 30, 2026, center on a daily high of 97–99°F under mostly sunny skies, with only a 20% chance of isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms.** Light southwesterly winds shifting southeast, combined with abundant August moisture, support strong daytime heating while keeping cloud cover minimal until late afternoon. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 96–97°F (55%) and 94–95°F (42%), as traders price in the narrow range between model consensus highs and the modest cooling risk from scattered convection. Above-average warmth relative to the 1991–2020 mean of ~92°F reflects the influence of the subtropical ridge and lack of frontal passages. Minor forecast spread arises from differing depictions of afternoon sea-breeze or Gulf moisture return, but the overall signal favors the upper 90s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日休斯敦的最高溫度?
96-97°F 55%
94-95°F 42%
92-93°F 3%
98-99°F 2%
$13,651 交易量
$13,651 交易量
華氏83度或以下
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
42%
96-97°F
55%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 55%
94-95°F 42%
92-93°F 3%
98-99°F 2%
$13,651 交易量
$13,651 交易量
華氏83度或以下
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
42%
96-97°F
55%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance for Houston on August 30, 2026, center on a daily high of 97–99°F under mostly sunny skies, with only a 20% chance of isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms.** Light southwesterly winds shifting southeast, combined with abundant August moisture, support strong daytime heating while keeping cloud cover minimal until late afternoon. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 96–97°F (55%) and 94–95°F (42%), as traders price in the narrow range between model consensus highs and the modest cooling risk from scattered convection. Above-average warmth relative to the 1991–2020 mean of ~92°F reflects the influence of the subtropical ridge and lack of frontal passages. Minor forecast spread arises from differing depictions of afternoon sea-breeze or Gulf moisture return, but the overall signal favors the upper 90s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions