Official NOAA observations from LaGuardia Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 84°F on August 28, 2026, with multiple ASOS readings peaking at 84–84.9°F during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light northwest flow. NWS climatological summaries from JFK and Newark corroborate this value, aligning precisely with the 84–85°F bin and driving the 100% market-implied probability as traders incorporated verified sensor data rather than forecasts. Minor uncertainty persists only from potential post-observation quality-control revisions, though these are rare and typically fall within the same bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日紐約市的最高溫度?
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$50,745 交易量
$50,745 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$50,745 交易量
$50,745 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Official NOAA observations from LaGuardia Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 84°F on August 28, 2026, with multiple ASOS readings peaking at 84–84.9°F during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light northwest flow. NWS climatological summaries from JFK and Newark corroborate this value, aligning precisely with the 84–85°F bin and driving the 100% market-implied probability as traders incorporated verified sensor data rather than forecasts. Minor uncertainty persists only from potential post-observation quality-control revisions, though these are rare and typically fall within the same bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions