Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate a high near 27–28°C on August 31 under mostly sunny conditions and moderate northeasterly flow, with official model runs showing modest day-to-day warming after recent cooler, showery weather. Trader consensus favoring 26°C or 27°C reflects the narrow range of ensemble guidance, where small differences in afternoon wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and exact cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical late-August climatology places typical highs near 29°C, but persistent northerly components off the Black Sea often suppress peaks relative to inland sites. Updated model runs expected within 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月31日的最高溫度?
26°C 50%
27°C 42%
28°C 5%
25°C 5%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
50%
27°C
42%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
27°C 42%
28°C 5%
25°C 5%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
50%
27°C
42%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate a high near 27–28°C on August 31 under mostly sunny conditions and moderate northeasterly flow, with official model runs showing modest day-to-day warming after recent cooler, showery weather. Trader consensus favoring 26°C or 27°C reflects the narrow range of ensemble guidance, where small differences in afternoon wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and exact cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical late-August climatology places typical highs near 29°C, but persistent northerly components off the Black Sea often suppress peaks relative to inland sites. Updated model runs expected within 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions