Recent observational data from Istanbul meteorological stations show a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with multiple model runs and official forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Cooler northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and light showers have suppressed daytime heating below typical late-August norms of 28–30°C, locking in trader consensus around this exact threshold. With the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for 24°C, this reflects high-confidence skin-in-the-game assessment of verified measurements rather than uncertain projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event revisions from the primary reporting station or discrepancies across official networks exceeding measurement uncertainty of 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月29日的最高溫度？
伊斯坦布爾8月29日的最高溫度？
24°C 99.8%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,104 交易量
$28,104 交易量
2026-08-29
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.8%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,104 交易量
$28,104 交易量
2026-08-29
19°C or below
$301 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,270 交易量
<1%
21°C
$849 交易量
<1%
22°C
$768 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5,870 交易量
<1%
24°C
$7,373 交易量
100%
25°C
$6,358 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,860 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,869 交易量
<1%
28°C
$283 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$304 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Istanbul meteorological stations show a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with multiple model runs and official forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Cooler northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and light showers have suppressed daytime heating below typical late-August norms of 28–30°C, locking in trader consensus around this exact threshold. With the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for 24°C, this reflects high-confidence skin-in-the-game assessment of verified measurements rather than uncertain projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event revisions from the primary reporting station or discrepancies across official networks exceeding measurement uncertainty of 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$28,104結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Istanbul meteorological stations show a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with multiple model runs and official forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Cooler northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and light showers have suppressed daytime heating below typical late-August norms of 28–30°C, locking in trader consensus around this exact threshold. With the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for 24°C, this reflects high-confidence skin-in-the-game assessment of verified measurements rather than uncertain projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event revisions from the primary reporting station or discrepancies across official networks exceeding measurement uncertainty of 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,104結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent observational data from Istanbul meteorological stations show a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with multiple model runs and official forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Cooler northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and light showers have suppressed daytime heating below typical late-August norms of 28–30°C, locking in trader consensus around this exact threshold. With the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for 24°C, this reflects high-confidence skin-in-the-game assessment of verified measurements rather than uncertain projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event revisions from the primary reporting station or discrepancies across official networks exceeding measurement uncertainty of 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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