Recent forecasts from sources including Turkish meteorological updates and international models indicate a daily minimum near 19–21°C for Istanbul on August 29, 2026, driven by a cooler-than-normal air mass, northerly flow, and periods of cloud cover with intermittent rain that limit daytime heating and moderate overnight radiative cooling. This places temperatures 4–6°C below typical late-August climatology for the region. The market’s emphasis on 21°C (57.5% implied probability) and 19°C (16.5%) reflects trader consensus around the latest model consensus and observed trends, with uncertainty tied to exact timing of clearing skies and any microscale variations across the urban area. New observational data from local stations and updated model runs will refine resolution criteria as the day concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月29日的最低溫度？
伊斯坦布爾8月29日的最低溫度？
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$1,418 交易量
$1,418 交易量
2026-08-29
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$1,418 交易量
$1,418 交易量
2026-08-29
15°C or below
$225 交易量
No
16°C
$95 交易量
No
17°C
$69 交易量
No
18°C
$121 交易量
No
19°C
$55 交易量
No
20°C
$87 交易量
No
21°C
$427 交易量
Yes
22°C
$225 交易量
No
23°C
$50 交易量
No
24°C
$20 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$43 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Turkish meteorological updates and international models indicate a daily minimum near 19–21°C for Istanbul on August 29, 2026, driven by a cooler-than-normal air mass, northerly flow, and periods of cloud cover with intermittent rain that limit daytime heating and moderate overnight radiative cooling. This places temperatures 4–6°C below typical late-August climatology for the region. The market’s emphasis on 21°C (57.5% implied probability) and 19°C (16.5%) reflects trader consensus around the latest model consensus and observed trends, with uncertainty tied to exact timing of clearing skies and any microscale variations across the urban area. New observational data from local stations and updated model runs will refine resolution criteria as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,418結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Turkish meteorological updates and international models indicate a daily minimum near 19–21°C for Istanbul on August 29, 2026, driven by a cooler-than-normal air mass, northerly flow, and periods of cloud cover with intermittent rain that limit daytime heating and moderate overnight radiative cooling. This places temperatures 4–6°C below typical late-August climatology for the region. The market’s emphasis on 21°C (57.5% implied probability) and 19°C (16.5%) reflects trader consensus around the latest model consensus and observed trends, with uncertainty tied to exact timing of clearing skies and any microscale variations across the urban area. New observational data from local stations and updated model runs will refine resolution criteria as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,418結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from sources including Turkish meteorological updates and international models indicate a daily minimum near 19–21°C for Istanbul on August 29, 2026, driven by a cooler-than-normal air mass, northerly flow, and periods of cloud cover with intermittent rain that limit daytime heating and moderate overnight radiative cooling. This places temperatures 4–6°C below typical late-August climatology for the region. The market’s emphasis on 21°C (57.5% implied probability) and 19°C (16.5%) reflects trader consensus around the latest model consensus and observed trends, with uncertainty tied to exact timing of clearing skies and any microscale variations across the urban area. New observational data from local stations and updated model runs will refine resolution criteria as the day concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions