Recent forecasts for Istanbul on August 30 show overnight lows settling near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that supports moderate radiational cooling without strong advection of cooler air. Model consensus points to minimum temperatures occurring around dawn, with dew points near 18–20°C limiting further drops, while historical late-August climatology averages 21–22°C lows. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise resolution criteria, local station microclimates, and any last-hour cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter the recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
8月30日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
21°C 43%
20°C 36%
18°C 15%
19°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
15%
19°C
9%
20°C
36%
21°C
43%
22°C
47%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
20°C 36%
18°C 15%
19°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
16°C or below
$250 交易量
<1%
17°C
$276 交易量
1%
18°C
$27 交易量
15%
19°C
$8 交易量
9%
20°C
$62 交易量
36%
21°C
$0 交易量
43%
22°C
$40 交易量
47%
23°C
$142 交易量
<1%
24°C
$66 交易量
<1%
25°C
$34 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$540 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Istanbul on August 30 show overnight lows settling near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that supports moderate radiational cooling without strong advection of cooler air. Model consensus points to minimum temperatures occurring around dawn, with dew points near 18–20°C limiting further drops, while historical late-August climatology averages 21–22°C lows. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise resolution criteria, local station microclimates, and any last-hour cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter the recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,446結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Istanbul on August 30 show overnight lows settling near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that supports moderate radiational cooling without strong advection of cooler air. Model consensus points to minimum temperatures occurring around dawn, with dew points near 18–20°C limiting further drops, while historical late-August climatology averages 21–22°C lows. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise resolution criteria, local station microclimates, and any last-hour cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter the recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,446結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts for Istanbul on August 30 show overnight lows settling near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that supports moderate radiational cooling without strong advection of cooler air. Model consensus points to minimum temperatures occurring around dawn, with dew points near 18–20°C limiting further drops, while historical late-August climatology averages 21–22°C lows. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise resolution criteria, local station microclimates, and any last-hour cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter the recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions